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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Lausanne

T S S T T

2–1

Full-time

Winterthur

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 21%

29%

13%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

71%

77%

Both score Ø 70%

71%

68%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,7

2,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,19 xG 1,63

53% Possession 47%

24 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 9. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	31	23	2	6	+37	+7.3	71
2	St. Gallen	31	16	8	7	+23	+9.0	56
3	Basel	31	15	7	9	+8	+10.4	52
4	Lugano	31	14	9	8	+10	-3.2	51
5	Sion	31	11	13	7	+9	+10.0	46
6	Young Boys	31	13	7	11	+5	-2.7	46
7	Luzern	31	10	9	12	+6	+2.8	39
8	Servette	31	8	12	11	-3	+6.9	36
9	Lausanne	31	9	9	13	-8	+3.1	36
10	Zurich	31	10	4	17	-16	-5.8	34
11	Grasshoppers	31	5	9	17	-23	-17.5	24
12	Winterthur	31	4	7	20	-48	-20.3	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	11	2	3	+20	+3.7	35
2	Lugano	15	9	3	3	+11	-1.0	30
3	St. Gallen	16	9	2	5	+12	+12.1	29
4	Young Boys	15	8	3	4	+16	+9.0	27
5	Sion	16	7	6	3	+10	+5.2	27
6	Basel	15	7	5	3	+10	+17.3	26
7	Servette	16	4	7	5	+1	+3.5	19
8	Zurich	16	6	1	9	-5	+0.5	19
9	Luzern	16	4	5	7	+3	+5.6	17
10	Lausanne	15	4	5	6	+0	+9.2	17
11	Grasshoppers	15	3	5	7	-2	-4.0	14
12	Winterthur	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	15	12	0	3	+17	+3.7	36
2	St. Gallen	15	7	6	2	+11	-3.1	27
3	Basel	16	8	2	6	-2	-6.9	26
4	Luzern	15	6	4	5	+3	-2.8	22
5	Lugano	16	5	6	5	-1	-2.2	21
6	Sion	15	4	7	4	-1	+4.8	19
7	Lausanne	16	5	4	7	-8	-6.1	19
8	Young Boys	16	5	4	7	-11	-11.7	19
9	Servette	15	4	5	6	-4	+3.4	17
10	Zurich	15	4	3	8	-11	-6.3	15
11	Grasshoppers	16	2	4	10	-21	-13.5	10
12	Winterthur	16	2	3	11	-32	-18.0	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.