Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Servette
Grasshoppers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 4–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | +38 | +6.5 | 71 |
| 2 |
St. Gallen
|
30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +23 | +9.3 | 55 |
| 3 |
Lugano
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | +10 | -4.5 | 50 |
| 4 |
Basel
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +6 | +12.1 | 49 |
| 5 |
Sion
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +9 | +9.7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Young Boys
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +5 | -1.4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Luzern
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | +2 | +1.1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Lausanne
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -4 | +4.8 | 36 |
| 9 |
Servette
|
30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -8 | +2.7 | 33 |
| 10 |
Zurich
|
30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | -17 | -5.0 | 31 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -18 | -13.4 | 24 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | -46 | -22.0 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Mall
G
T. Allix
D
S. Rouiller
D
M. Burch
D
B. Mazikou
D
T. Cognat
M
D. Douline
M
T. Lopes
M
M. Stevanovic
M
J. Kadile
M
F. Aye
F
Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec
J. Hammel
G
A. Diaby
D
L. Mikulic
D
M. Ngom
M
T. Meyer
M
J. Asp
M
S. Stroscio
M
F. Tsimba
F
M. Frey
F
Coach: Gernot Messner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Basel
Servette
Servette
Zurich
Winterthur
Servette
Servette
Sion
Servette
St. Gallen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.