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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Lugano

U U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Grasshoppers

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Grasshoppers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,3

1,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

18%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

68%

45%

Both score Ø 68%

77%

59%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,88 xG 0,31

73% Possession 27%

25 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

10 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 2. · Grasshoppers 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	22	12	4	6	+26	+15.8	40
2	Lugano	22	11	5	6	+7	+2.2	38
3	Luzern	22	10	6	6	+6	+5.4	36
4	Servette	22	8	9	5	+2	+0.4	33
5	Zurich	22	9	6	7	-1	-5.1	33
6	Lausanne	22	9	5	8	+7	+10.8	32
7	St. Gallen	22	8	8	6	+6	-4.4	32
8	Young Boys	22	8	7	7	+2	+5.8	31
9	Sion	22	7	6	9	-1	+5.1	27
10	Grasshoppers	22	4	9	9	-9	-5.1	21
11	Yverdon	22	5	6	11	-15	-15.0	21
12	Winterthur	22	3	5	14	-30	-15.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+8	+5.1	23
2	Basel	11	7	1	3	+11	+13.2	22
3	Lausanne	11	7	1	3	+10	+9.0	22
4	Young Boys	11	6	3	2	+9	+3.4	21
5	St. Gallen	11	5	5	1	+9	+1.9	20
6	Luzern	11	6	2	3	+6	+9.0	20
7	Servette	11	5	5	1	+4	+3.0	20
8	Sion	11	4	5	2	+7	+12.1	17
9	Zurich	11	4	4	3	+1	-2.3	16
10	Yverdon	11	4	2	5	-3	-3.9	14
11	Grasshoppers	11	1	7	3	-3	+3.7	10
12	Winterthur	11	3	1	7	-12	-5.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	11	5	3	3	+15	+2.6	18
2	Zurich	11	5	2	4	-2	-2.8	17
3	Luzern	11	4	4	3	+0	-3.6	16
4	Lugano	11	4	3	4	-1	-2.9	15
5	Servette	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
6	St. Gallen	11	3	3	5	-3	-6.3	12
7	Grasshoppers	11	3	2	6	-6	-8.8	11
8	Lausanne	11	2	4	5	-3	+1.8	10
9	Young Boys	11	2	4	5	-7	+2.4	10
10	Sion	11	3	1	7	-8	-7.0	10
11	Yverdon	11	1	4	6	-12	-11.1	7
12	Winterthur	11	0	4	7	-18	-10.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.