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Super League

Referee: M Turkes

Grasshoppers

T U T T T

0–1

Full-time

Lugano

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 39%

26%

52%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

45%

68%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

58%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,61 xG 1,30

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Grasshoppers 11. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	31	17	8	6	+32	+2.1	59
2	Servette	31	15	9	7	+15	+25.7	54
3	Lugano	31	16	5	10	+14	+9.7	53
4	Zurich	31	12	12	7	+11	+3.1	48
5	Winterthur	31	12	10	9	-1	-7.2	46
6	St. Gallen	31	12	8	11	+4	+11.4	44
7	Luzern	31	12	7	12	-3	+2.0	43
8	Lausanne	31	9	10	12	-4	+1.2	37
9	Yverdon	31	10	7	14	-20	-16.6	37
10	Basel	31	10	6	15	-11	-4.8	36
11	Grasshoppers	31	8	6	17	-8	-9.5	30
12	Lausanne Ouchy	31	5	8	18	-29	-17.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	12	2	1	+31	+6.0	38
2	St. Gallen	16	10	3	3	+12	+7.4	33
3	Servette	16	9	4	3	+13	+17.0	31
4	Winterthur	16	9	4	3	+5	+0.8	31
5	Yverdon	16	9	4	3	+3	-5.6	31
6	Luzern	16	9	3	4	+6	+2.9	30
7	Zurich	15	7	7	1	+9	+1.7	28
8	Lugano	15	8	3	4	+8	+7.6	27
9	Lausanne	15	6	5	4	+6	+5.4	23
10	Grasshoppers	15	6	3	6	+6	-2.8	21
11	Basel	15	5	4	6	+0	-2.0	19
12	Lausanne Ouchy	16	2	6	8	-18	-6.2	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	16	8	2	6	+6	+2.1	26
2	Servette	15	6	5	4	+2	+8.7	23
3	Young Boys	16	5	6	5	+1	-3.9	21
4	Zurich	16	5	5	6	+2	+1.4	20
5	Basel	16	5	2	9	-11	-2.8	17
6	Winterthur	15	3	6	6	-6	-8.0	15
7	Lausanne	16	3	5	8	-10	-4.2	14
8	Luzern	15	3	4	8	-9	-1.0	13
9	St. Gallen	15	2	5	8	-8	+4.0	11
10	Lausanne Ouchy	15	3	2	10	-11	-11.0	11
11	Grasshoppers	16	2	3	11	-14	-6.7	9
12	Yverdon	15	1	3	11	-23	-11.0	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.