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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Lugano

S S T S T

1–1

Full-time

St. Gallen

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 40%

45%

35%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

58%

48%

Both score Ø 63%

65%

61%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,85 xG 0,84

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 9

5 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 5. · St. Gallen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	32	17	7	8	+35	+19.1	58
2	Servette	31	14	9	8	+8	+0.5	51
3	Young Boys	31	14	8	9	+11	+10.9	50
4	Luzern	31	13	9	9	+6	+5.6	48
5	Lugano	31	14	6	11	+3	+8.1	48
6	Zurich	32	13	8	11	-3	-2.8	47
7	Lausanne	32	12	8	12	+6	+10.0	44
8	St. Gallen	31	11	10	10	+2	-4.4	43
9	Sion	31	9	8	14	-9	+0.9	35
10	Grasshoppers	32	7	12	13	-10	-12.7	33
11	Yverdon	32	8	9	15	-19	-13.5	33
12	Winterthur	32	7	6	19	-30	-21.5	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	10	4	2	+18	+8.6	34
2	Basel	16	10	2	4	+15	+15.3	32
3	Lugano	16	9	3	4	+6	+10.1	30
4	Lausanne	16	9	2	5	+11	+10.5	29
5	Luzern	15	8	4	3	+8	+8.7	28
6	St. Gallen	15	7	6	2	+10	+5.6	27
7	Servette	15	7	5	3	+5	+5.4	26
8	Sion	15	6	6	3	+8	+11.5	24
9	Zurich	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.2	23
10	Yverdon	16	6	3	7	-4	-2.1	21
11	Winterthur	16	6	2	8	-8	-6.9	20
12	Grasshoppers	16	3	8	5	-2	+2.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	16	7	5	4	+20	+3.8	26
2	Servette	16	7	4	5	+3	-4.9	25
3	Zurich	15	7	3	5	+1	-0.6	24
4	Luzern	16	5	5	6	-2	-3.2	20
5	Lugano	15	5	3	7	-3	-2.0	18
6	Young Boys	15	4	4	7	-7	+2.3	16
7	St. Gallen	16	4	4	8	-8	-10.0	16
8	Grasshoppers	16	4	4	8	-8	-15.3	16
9	Lausanne	16	3	6	7	-5	-0.5	15
10	Yverdon	16	2	6	8	-15	-11.4	12
11	Sion	16	3	2	11	-17	-10.6	11
12	Winterthur	16	1	4	11	-22	-14.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.