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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Basel

U T S S U

1–1

Full-time

Luzern

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 35%

33%

36%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

55%

48%

Both score Ø 60%

58%

61%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 0,84

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 9. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	33	19	8	6	+35	+2.8	65
2	Servette	34	17	9	8	+16	+27.9	60
3	Lugano	34	18	5	11	+16	+12.6	59
4	St. Gallen	34	15	8	11	+10	+15.2	53
5	Winterthur	34	13	10	11	-2	-7.1	49
6	Zurich	33	12	12	9	+9	+1.5	48
7	Luzern	33	12	8	13	-5	+1.6	44
8	Lausanne	33	10	10	13	-5	-0.2	40
9	Basel	33	11	7	15	-10	-4.3	40
10	Yverdon	33	11	7	15	-21	-17.8	40
11	Grasshoppers	34	9	6	19	-9	-11.1	33
12	Lausanne Ouchy	34	5	8	21	-34	-21.1	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	13	2	1	+33	+6.4	41
2	Servette	18	11	4	3	+15	+19.7	37
3	St. Gallen	17	11	3	3	+16	+10.3	36
4	Yverdon	17	10	4	3	+6	-3.8	34
5	Luzern	17	9	4	4	+6	+2.9	31
6	Winterthur	17	9	4	4	+4	+0.5	31
7	Lugano	17	9	3	5	+9	+9.7	30
8	Zurich	16	7	7	2	+8	+0.8	28
9	Lausanne	16	7	5	4	+7	+6.1	26
10	Grasshoppers	17	7	3	7	+6	-3.1	24
11	Basel	16	6	4	6	+1	-1.5	22
12	Lausanne Ouchy	17	2	6	9	-19	-8.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	17	9	2	6	+7	+2.8	29
2	Young Boys	17	6	6	5	+2	-3.6	24
3	Servette	16	6	5	5	+1	+8.2	23
4	Zurich	17	5	5	7	+1	+0.7	20
5	Winterthur	17	4	6	7	-6	-7.7	18
6	Basel	17	5	3	9	-11	-2.8	18
7	St. Gallen	17	4	5	8	-6	+4.9	17
8	Lausanne	17	3	5	9	-12	-6.3	14
9	Luzern	16	3	4	9	-11	-1.4	13
10	Lausanne Ouchy	17	3	2	12	-15	-13.1	11
11	Grasshoppers	17	2	3	12	-15	-8.0	9
12	Yverdon	16	1	3	12	-27	-14.0	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.