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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Lugano

U S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Luzern

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 48%

48%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 74%

78%

70%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,65 xG 0,69

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 3. · Luzern 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	23	12	4	7	+25	+15.8	40
2	Luzern	23	11	6	6	+7	+6.1	39
3	Lugano	23	11	6	6	+7	+4.7	39
4	Servette	23	9	9	5	+3	+0.4	36
5	Lausanne	23	10	5	8	+10	+12.0	35
6	St. Gallen	23	9	8	6	+7	-3.9	35
7	Young Boys	23	9	7	7	+6	+8.7	34
8	Zurich	23	9	6	8	-2	-5.5	33
9	Sion	23	7	6	10	-5	+2.2	27
10	Grasshoppers	23	4	10	9	-9	-7.7	22
11	Yverdon	23	5	6	12	-18	-16.2	21
12	Winterthur	23	3	5	15	-31	-16.6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lausanne	12	8	1	3	+13	+10.3	25
2	Young Boys	12	7	3	2	+13	+6.3	24
3	Lugano	12	7	3	2	+8	+7.7	24
4	Luzern	12	7	2	3	+7	+9.7	23
5	Servette	12	6	5	1	+5	+3.0	23
6	Basel	11	7	1	3	+11	+13.2	22
7	St. Gallen	11	5	5	1	+9	+1.9	20
8	Sion	11	4	5	2	+7	+12.1	17
9	Zurich	12	4	4	4	+0	-2.7	16
10	Yverdon	11	4	2	5	-3	-3.9	14
11	Grasshoppers	11	1	7	3	-3	+3.7	10
12	Winterthur	11	3	1	7	-12	-5.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	12	5	3	4	+14	+2.6	18
2	Zurich	11	5	2	4	-2	-2.8	17
3	Luzern	11	4	4	3	+0	-3.6	16
4	Lugano	11	4	3	4	-1	-2.9	15
5	St. Gallen	12	4	3	5	-2	-5.9	15
6	Servette	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
7	Grasshoppers	12	3	3	6	-6	-11.3	12
8	Lausanne	11	2	4	5	-3	+1.8	10
9	Young Boys	11	2	4	5	-7	+2.4	10
10	Sion	12	3	1	8	-12	-9.9	10
11	Yverdon	12	1	4	7	-15	-12.3	7
12	Winterthur	12	0	4	8	-19	-11.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.