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Super League

Referee: F San

Basel

U S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Lausanne

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 48%

52%

43%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 57%

61%

52%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,43 xG 0,89

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 2. · Lausanne 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	24	12	6	6	+9	+5.7	42
2	Basel	23	12	4	7	+25	+15.8	40
3	Luzern	24	11	6	7	+5	+5.1	39
4	Servette	23	9	9	5	+3	+0.4	36
5	Lausanne	23	10	5	8	+10	+12.0	35
6	St. Gallen	24	9	8	7	+6	-5.6	35
7	Young Boys	24	9	7	8	+5	+8.5	34
8	Zurich	24	9	6	9	-3	-5.7	33
9	Sion	24	8	6	10	-4	+2.4	30
10	Yverdon	24	6	6	12	-17	-14.6	24
11	Grasshoppers	23	4	10	9	-9	-7.7	22
12	Winterthur	24	4	5	15	-30	-16.3	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	13	8	3	2	+10	+8.6	27
2	Lausanne	12	8	1	3	+13	+10.3	25
3	Young Boys	12	7	3	2	+13	+6.3	24
4	Luzern	12	7	2	3	+7	+9.7	23
5	Servette	12	6	5	1	+5	+3.0	23
6	Basel	11	7	1	3	+11	+13.2	22
7	St. Gallen	11	5	5	1	+9	+1.9	20
8	Sion	12	5	5	2	+8	+12.3	20
9	Yverdon	12	5	2	5	-2	-2.3	17
10	Zurich	12	4	4	4	+0	-2.7	16
11	Winterthur	12	4	1	7	-11	-5.0	13
12	Grasshoppers	11	1	7	3	-3	+3.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	12	5	3	4	+14	+2.6	18
2	Zurich	12	5	2	5	-3	-3.0	17
3	Luzern	12	4	4	4	-2	-4.6	16
4	Lugano	11	4	3	4	-1	-2.9	15
5	St. Gallen	13	4	3	6	-3	-7.5	15
6	Servette	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
7	Grasshoppers	12	3	3	6	-6	-11.3	12
8	Lausanne	11	2	4	5	-3	+1.8	10
9	Young Boys	12	2	4	6	-8	+2.2	10
10	Sion	12	3	1	8	-12	-9.9	10
11	Yverdon	12	1	4	7	-15	-12.3	7
12	Winterthur	12	0	4	8	-19	-11.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.