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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Servette

T U U U U

2–1

Full-time

Basel

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

36%

55%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 64%

68%

59%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

14 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 6. · Basel 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	22	12	4	6	+26	+15.8	40
2	Lugano	23	11	6	6	+7	+4.7	39
3	Luzern	22	10	6	6	+6	+5.4	36
4	Lausanne	23	10	5	8	+10	+12.0	35
5	Young Boys	23	9	7	7	+6	+8.7	34
6	Servette	22	8	9	5	+2	+0.4	33
7	Zurich	22	9	6	7	-1	-5.1	33
8	St. Gallen	22	8	8	6	+6	-4.4	32
9	Sion	23	7	6	10	-5	+2.2	27
10	Grasshoppers	23	4	10	9	-9	-7.7	22
11	Yverdon	23	5	6	12	-18	-16.2	21
12	Winterthur	22	3	5	14	-30	-15.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lausanne	12	8	1	3	+13	+10.3	25
2	Young Boys	12	7	3	2	+13	+6.3	24
3	Lugano	12	7	3	2	+8	+7.7	24
4	Basel	11	7	1	3	+11	+13.2	22
5	St. Gallen	11	5	5	1	+9	+1.9	20
6	Luzern	11	6	2	3	+6	+9.0	20
7	Servette	11	5	5	1	+4	+3.0	20
8	Sion	11	4	5	2	+7	+12.1	17
9	Zurich	11	4	4	3	+1	-2.3	16
10	Yverdon	11	4	2	5	-3	-3.9	14
11	Grasshoppers	11	1	7	3	-3	+3.7	10
12	Winterthur	11	3	1	7	-12	-5.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	11	5	3	3	+15	+2.6	18
2	Zurich	11	5	2	4	-2	-2.8	17
3	Luzern	11	4	4	3	+0	-3.6	16
4	Lugano	11	4	3	4	-1	-2.9	15
5	Servette	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
6	St. Gallen	11	3	3	5	-3	-6.3	12
7	Grasshoppers	12	3	3	6	-6	-11.3	12
8	Lausanne	11	2	4	5	-3	+1.8	10
9	Young Boys	11	2	4	5	-7	+2.4	10
10	Sion	12	3	1	8	-12	-9.9	10
11	Yverdon	12	1	4	7	-15	-12.3	7
12	Winterthur	11	0	4	7	-18	-10.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.