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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Lugano

T S T S S

2–3

Full-time

Luzern

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,18 xG 0,81

63% Possession 37%

22 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 3. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sion	4	3	0	1	+6	+4.8	9
2	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+5	-0.8	9
3	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+4	-1.4	9
4	Servette	4	3	0	1	+2	-0.4	9
5	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
6	Luzern	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
7	Winterthur	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.7	4
8	Basel	3	1	0	2	+1	+1.5	3
9	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.7	3
10	Yverdon	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.4	2
11	Young Boys	5	0	2	3	-7	-0.5	2
12	Grasshoppers	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sion	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.4	6
2	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
3	Servette	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
4	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.1	6
5	Winterthur	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
6	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
7	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.5	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
9	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
10	Yverdon	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
11	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.1	1
12	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
2	Basel	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.0	3
3	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
4	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
5	Sion	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
6	Servette	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
7	Luzern	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
8	Yverdon	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
9	Young Boys	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.2	1
10	Grasshoppers	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.0	0
11	Winterthur	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.3	0
12	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.