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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Luzern
T U U S T
3–0
Full-time
Lausanne
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 15%
16%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
55%
58%
Both score Ø 70%
71%
68%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Lausanne 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 31 21 6 4 +31 69
2 Basel 31 14 14 3 +30 56
3 Young Boys 32 14 11 7 +26 53
4 St. Gallen 32 13 8 11 +6 47
5 Lugano 32 14 5 13 -6 47
6 Servette 32 12 5 15 -12 41
7 Grasshoppers 32 8 12 12 -1 36
8 Sion 32 9 7 16 -21 34
9 Luzern 31 5 12 14 -22 27
10 Lausanne 31 4 8 19 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Feb -22 Lausanne – Luzern 1–2 31. Oct -21 Lausanne – Luzern 1–1 29. Aug -21 Luzern – Lausanne 1–1 21. Apr -21 Luzern – Lausanne 1–0 3. Apr -21 Lausanne – Luzern 2–1

Match report

Luzern Lausanne
Denis Simani 🟨
19′
24′
🟨 Hicham Mahou
Marco Burch 🟨
26′
1–0 M. Burch ⚽
M. Dräger
28′
34′
🟨 Maxime Poundjé
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Coyle
↦ S. Alakouch
52′
🟨 Stjepan Kukuruzović
2–0 A. Jashari ⚽
Asumah Abubakar
54′
55′
🔁 G. Koyalipou
↦ R. Pollero
C. Gentner 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
71′
72′
🔁 B. Ouattara
↦ S. Kukuruzović
Filip Ugrinic ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
73′
74′
🟨 Hicham Mahou
74′
🟥 Hicham Mahou
3–0 F. Ugrinic ⚽
76′
79′
🔁 Elton Monteiro
↦ S. Grippo
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
81′
N. Čumić 🔁
↦ F. Ugrinic
81′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ A. Jashari
85′
S. Sidler 🔁
↦ M. Dräger
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
2 M. Dräger D
46 M. Burch D
15 M. Schulz M
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jashari M
27 M. Kvasina F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
4 C. Gentner
7 I. Ndiaye
20 N. Čumić
31 L. Emini
34 S. Sidler
17 S. Grether
90 V. Vasić
23 S. Alabi
16 V. Tasar

Coach: M. Frick

Lausanne

3-1-4-2
1 T. Castella G
5 S. Grippo D
29 M. Poundjé D
23 S. Alakouch M
20 H. Mahou M
24 A. Zohouri D
7 S. Kukuruzović M
30 A. Trébel M
80 A. Sanches M
90 R. Pollero F
9 Z. Amdouni F
Bench (9)
98 T. Coyle
17 G. Koyalipou
11 B. Ouattara
6 Elton Monteiro
73 Diogo Mendes
33 M. Spielmann
71 K. Sow
26 F. Chafik
40 M. Diaw

Coach: A. Casanova

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.