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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Lugano
S S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Young Boys
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,7
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 49%
38%
59%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
53%
62%
Both score Ø 68%
74%
62%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 3. · Young Boys 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 34 20 11 3 +53 71
2 Servette 34 13 15 6 +6 54
3 Lugano 34 13 12 9 +9 51
4 Luzern 34 12 11 11 +2 47
5 Basel 34 10 13 11 -1 43
6 Grasshoppers 34 12 7 15 -6 43
7 St. Gallen 34 10 11 13 +10 41
8 Zurich 34 9 14 11 -15 41
9 Winterthur 34 8 8 18 -31 32
10 Sion 34 7 10 17 -27 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Young Boys
11′
🟨 Fabian Lustenberger
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ A. Hajdari
61′
R. Macek 🔁
↦ U. Bislimi
61′
64′
🔁 Joël Monteiro
↦ J. Nsame
64′
🔁 F. Ugrinic
↦ D. Rrudhani
J. Espinoza 🔁
↦ H. Mahmoud
75′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
75′
77′
🔁 F. Rieder
↦ K. Imeri
1–0 I. Aliseda
A. Arigoni
77′
78′
🔁 U. Garcia
↦ Q. Maceiras
B. Babic 🔁
↦ I. Aliseda
81′
Allan Arigoni 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 C. Niasse
↦ S. Lauper
Boris Babić 🟨
87′
2–0 M. Amoura
R. Macek
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-2-1
13 S. Berbić G
34 A. Arigoni D
20 O. Doumbia D
5 A. Hajdari D
25 U. Bislimi M
29 H. Mahmoud M
14 J. Sabbatini M
23 M. Valenzuela M
11 R. Steffen F
31 I. Aliseda F
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (8)
7 M. Facchinetti
77 R. Macek
6 J. Espinoza
47 M. Amoura
27 B. Babic
12 A. Morosoli
45 M. De Jesus
24 C. Nkama

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
1 A. Racioppi G
24 Q. Maceiras D
4 A. Amenda D
28 F. Lustenberger D
23 L. Benito D
16 C. Fassnacht M
30 S. Lauper M
22 D. Rrudhani M
29 K. Imeri M
18 J. Nsame F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (8)
77 Joël Monteiro
7 F. Ugrinic
32 F. Rieder
21 U. Garcia
20 C. Niasse
33 M. Keller
13 M. Camara
5 C. Zesiger

Coach: R. Wicky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.