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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Young Boys
S T S S T
3–0
Full-time
Lugano
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Super League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
71%
86%
Both score Ø 65%
43%
86%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,4
2,0
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Lugano 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Servette 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 St. Gallen 8 5 0 3 +6 15
3 Young Boys 7 4 2 1 +13 14
4 Sion 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Grasshoppers 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Luzern 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Lugano 7 3 0 4 +2 9
8 Basel 6 1 3 2 -1 6
9 Zurich 8 0 2 6 -13 2
10 Winterthur 8 0 2 6 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. May -22 Lugano – Young Boys 3–1 29. Jan -22 Young Boys – Lugano 1–0 19. Dec -21 Lugano – Young Boys 0–5 1. Dec -21 Young Boys – Lugano 3–1 18. Apr -21 Young Boys – Lugano 3–0

Match report

Young Boys Lugano
1–0 J. Nsame ⚽
C. Itten
2′
Cheikh Niasse 🟨
8′
41′
🟨 Renato Steffen
2–0 C. Itten ⚽
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
61′
🔁 H. Mahou
↦ R. Steffen
61′
🔁 M. Amoura
↦ Ž. Celar
3–0 J. Nsame ⚽
63′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ J. Nsame
70′
V. Sierro 🔁
↦ C. Niasse
70′
72′
🔁 H. Mahmoud
↦ O. Doumbia
Mohamed Camara 🟨
74′
D. Rrudhani 🔁
↦ K. Imeri
76′
Fabian Rieder 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 U. Bislimi
↦ J. Sabbatini
L. Blum 🔁
↦ K. Rüegg
89′
93′
🟨 Hicham Mahou
94′
🟨 Allan Arigoni
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
17 K. Rüegg D
13 M. Camara D
28 F. Lustenberger D
23 L. Benito D
32 F. Rieder M
20 C. Niasse M
7 F. Ugrinic M
29 K. Imeri M
11 C. Itten F
18 J. Nsame F
Bench (9)
15 M. Elia
8 V. Sierro
22 D. Rrudhani
27 L. Blum
77 Joël Monteiro
14 M. Chaiwa
4 A. Amenda
1 A. Racioppi
30 S. Lauper

Coach: R. Wicky

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
15 L. Mai D
30 F. Daprelà D
3 R. Ziegler D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Doumbia M
22 R. Steffen M
10 M. Bottani M
11 M. Haile-Selassie M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
77 R. Macek
18 H. Mahou
47 M. Amoura
29 H. Mahmoud
25 U. Bislimi
27 B. Babic
31 I. Aliseda
5 A. Hajdari
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.