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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Lugano
S T S S U
1–4
Full-time
Young Boys
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
45%
64%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 5. · Young Boys 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 11 7 3 1 +18 24
2 Servette 11 5 4 2 +3 19
3 Sion 12 5 3 4 +0 18
4 St. Gallen 11 5 1 5 +4 16
5 Lugano 11 5 1 5 +1 16
6 Grasshoppers 11 3 5 3 -2 14
7 Basel 10 3 4 3 +3 13
8 Luzern 10 3 3 4 +1 12
9 Winterthur 12 3 3 6 -15 12
10 Zurich 11 0 5 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Sep -22 Young Boys – Lugano 3–0 7. May -22 Lugano – Young Boys 3–1 29. Jan -22 Young Boys – Lugano 1–0 19. Dec -21 Lugano – Young Boys 0–5 1. Dec -21 Young Boys – Lugano 3–1

Match report

Lugano Young Boys
21′
⚽ J. Nsame 0–1
K. Rüegg
1–1 R. Ziegler ⚽
R. Steffen
25′
Žan Celar 🟨
37′
40′
🟨 Kevin Rüegg
Half-time 1–1
51′
🔁 L. Blum
↦ F. Ugrinic
51′
🔁 K. Imeri
↦ K. Rüegg
56′
🔁 F. Lustenberger
↦ M. Camara
57′
🟨 Cheikh Niasse
60′
🟨 Fabian Lustenberger
Ousmane Doumbia 🟨
64′
68′
⚽ U. Garcia 1–2
U. Bislimi 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
70′
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ H. Mahou
70′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
70′
H. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
77′
Fabio Daprelà 🟨
79′
80′
⚽ K. Imeri 1–3
J. Nsame
Uran Bislimi 🟨
86′
R. Macek 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
87′
88′
🔁 Joël Monteiro
↦ J. Nsame
91′
🟨 Cédric Itten
95′
⚽ C. Itten 1–4
Joël Monteiro
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
17 M. Valenzuela D
15 L. Mai D
30 F. Daprelà D
3 R. Ziegler D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Doumbia M
18 H. Mahou M
10 M. Bottani M
22 R. Steffen M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
25 U. Bislimi
11 M. Haile-Selassie
47 M. Amoura
29 H. Mahmoud
77 R. Macek
50 J. Angstmann
4 K. Hajrizi
5 A. Hajdari
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
17 K. Rüegg D
13 M. Camara D
5 C. Zesiger D
21 U. Garcia D
16 C. Fassnacht M
20 C. Niasse M
7 F. Ugrinic M
8 V. Sierro M
18 J. Nsame F
11 C. Itten F
Bench (9)
27 L. Blum
29 K. Imeri
28 F. Lustenberger
77 Joël Monteiro
32 F. Rieder
15 M. Elia
23 L. Benito
22 D. Rrudhani
1 A. Racioppi

Coach: R. Wicky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.