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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Servette
S T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Lugano
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,0
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
61%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
23 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 6. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 33 23 6 4 +34 75
2 Basel 33 14 15 4 +28 57
3 Young Boys 34 15 11 8 +27 56
4 Lugano 33 15 5 13 -4 50
5 St. Gallen 34 13 8 13 +2 47
6 Servette 33 12 5 16 -16 41
7 Sion 33 10 7 16 -20 37
8 Grasshoppers 33 8 12 13 -2 36
9 Luzern 33 7 12 14 -15 33
10 Lausanne 33 4 9 20 -34 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Servette Lugano
9′
ℹ️ Mattia Bottani
VAR: Penalty awarded
Nicolas Vouilloz 🟨
10′
10′
Ž. Celar 0–1
21′
🟨 Mattia Bottani
25′
🟨 Mohamed Haj Mahmoud
45′
🟨 Jonathan Sabbatini
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Valenzuela
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
46′
🔁 S. Lovrić
↦ M. Bottani
Timothé Cognat ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
50′
1–1 C. Bedia
52′
63′
S. Lovrić 1–2
N. Lavanchy
R. Rodelin 🔁
↦ C. Bedia
67′
M. Bauer 🔁
↦ M. Diallo
68′
D. Oberlin 🔁
↦ A. Antunes
68′
68′
🔁 N. Muci
↦ Ž. Celar
74′
🔁 M. Cinquini
↦ Yuri
R. Azevedo 🔁
↦ T. Valls
80′
81′
🔁 Z. Josipovic
↦ H. Mahmoud
Steve Rouiller ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
90′
2–2 D. Oberlin
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Servette

4-3-3
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
4 S. Rouiller D
7 M. Diallo D
33 N. Vouilloz D
9 M. Stevanović F
15 T. Valls M
5 B. Céspedes M
8 T. Cognat M
27 A. Antunes F
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (9)
12 R. Rodelin
26 M. Bauer
14 D. Oberlin
22 R. Azevedo
19 Y. Severin
28 D. Douline
34 R. Nyakossi
41 V. Behrami
40 E. Omeragic

Coach: A. Geiger

Lugano

4-3-3
58 S. Osigwe G
16 N. Lavanchy D
21 Yuri D
4 K. Hajrizi D
29 H. Mahmoud M
14 J. Sabbatini M
18 M. Haile-Selassie F
8 A. Durrer D
6 M. Amoura F
10 M. Bottani M
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
17 M. Valenzuela
24 S. Lovrić
99 N. Muci
39 M. Cinquini
38 Z. Josipovic
33 A. Casciato
12 A. Morosoli
32 L. Molino
23 L. Srdic

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.