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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
Lugano
T T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Servette
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
41%
68%
Both score Ø 59%
45%
73%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Servette 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 22 15 5 2 +23 50
2 Young Boys 23 12 7 4 +26 43
3 Basel 22 10 10 2 +23 40
4 Lugano 22 10 3 9 -4 33
5 Servette 22 8 5 9 -5 29
6 Grasshoppers 22 6 9 7 +4 27
7 St. Gallen 22 7 5 10 -7 26
8 Sion 23 7 5 11 -12 26
9 Luzern 22 2 9 11 -19 15
10 Lausanne 22 2 6 14 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Servette
42′
🟨 Jeremy Frick
1–0 Ž. Celar
44′
Half-time 1–0
Olivier Custodio 🟨
53′
61′
🔁 D. Oberlin
↦ C. Bedia
61′
🔁 A. Antunes
↦ A. Schalk
61′
🔁 R. Rodelin
↦ T. Valls
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ M. Facchinetti
66′
I. Aliseda 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
66′
67′
🟨 Vincent Sasso
A. Durrer 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
80′
80′
🔁 B. Cespedes
↦ D. Douline
80′
🔁 M. Bauer
↦ M. Diallo
Yuri 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
81′
K. Hajrizi 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
90′
Amir Saipi 🟨
93′
2–0 I. Aliseda
M. Haile-Selassie
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lugano

3-5-2
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
7 M. Facchinetti M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
27 K. Rüegg M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
18 M. Haile-Selassie
31 I. Aliseda
8 A. Durrer
21 Yuri
4 K. Hajrizi
29 H. Mahmoud
99 N. Muci
17 M. Valenzuela
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Servette

4-3-3
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
23 V. Sasso D
4 S. Rouiller D
7 M. Diallo D
9 M. Stevanović F
28 D. Douline M
15 T. Valls M
8 T. Cognat M
10 A. Schalk F
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (9)
14 D. Oberlin
27 A. Antunes
12 R. Rodelin
5 B. Cespedes
26 M. Bauer
19 Y. Severin
33 N. Vouilloz
40 E. Omeragic
17 K. Imeri

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.