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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Lugano
U S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Servette
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Super League · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
30%
73%
Both score Ø 66%
50%
82%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 5. · Servette 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 12 7 5 0 +18 26
2 Zurich 12 6 4 2 +6 22
3 Young Boys 11 6 3 2 +15 21
4 Grasshoppers 12 4 5 3 +4 17
5 Lugano 10 4 2 4 +0 14
6 Servette 11 3 3 5 -6 12
7 St. Gallen 12 3 3 6 -9 12
8 Sion 12 3 3 6 -12 12
9 Luzern 11 1 6 4 -5 9
10 Lausanne 11 1 4 6 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Servette
15′
K. Imeri 0–1
29′
🟨 Yoan Severin
1–1 Ž. Celar
30′
Half-time 1–1
Fabio Daprelà 🟨
56′
O. Custodio 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
57′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ C. Lungoyi
57′
62′
🔁 R. Rodelin
↦ T. Valls
70′
🔁 R. Nyakossi
↦ D. Douline
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
74′
2–1 J. Sabbatini
78′
83′
🟨 Vincent Sasso
86′
🔁 Papu Mendes
↦ A. Schalk
86′
🔁 R. Azevedo
↦ S. Rouiller
86′
🔁 A. Antunes
↦ K. Imeri
Mijat Marić 🟨
88′
K. Hajrizi 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugano

4-2-3-1
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy D
14 J. Sabbatini M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani M
19 Ž. Celar F
17 Asumah Abubakar M
8 C. Lungoyi M
Bench (9)
20 O. Custodio
6 M. Amoura
7 M. Facchinetti
4 K. Hajrizi
11 K. Monzialo
99 N. Muci
29 H. Mahmoud
46 N. Baumann
21 Yuri

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Servette

4-3-3
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
23 V. Sasso D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
9 M. Stevanović F
28 D. Douline M
15 T. Valls M
17 K. Imeri M
10 A. Schalk F
25 G. Kyei F
Bench (8)
12 R. Rodelin
34 R. Nyakossi
20 Papu Mendes
22 R. Azevedo
27 A. Antunes
33 N. Vouilloz
24 M. Sawadogo
40 E. Omeragic

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.