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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Zurich
S S S T S
2–3
Full-time
Luzern
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
This season — Super League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
28%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 4. · Luzern 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 18 11 5 2 +15 38
2 Basel 18 11 3 4 +24 36
3 St. Gallen 18 11 2 5 +17 35
4 Zurich 18 9 3 6 -9 30
5 Servette 18 7 6 5 +10 27
6 Lugano 18 5 6 7 -1 21
7 Sion 18 6 3 9 -10 21
8 Luzern 18 5 3 10 -10 18
9 Xamax 18 2 8 8 -12 14
10 Thun 18 2 3 13 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Nov -19 Zurich – Luzern 3–0 28. Jul -19 Luzern – Zurich 0–0

Match report

Zurich Luzern
1–0 M. Schönbächler ⚽
M. Kryeziu
5′
Toni Domgjoni 🟨
7′
13′
⚽ I. Voca 1–1
20′
🟨 Ibrahima Ndiaye
24′
⚽ Ryder Matos 1–2
F. Margiotta
27′
⚽ F. Margiotta 1–3
D. Males
Mirlind Kryeziu 🟨
30′
34′
🟨 Ashvin Balaruban
Blaž Kramer 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–3
Nathan 🟨
46′
M. Mahi 🔁
↦ V. Janjičić
46′
52′
🔁 S. Grether
↦ A. Balaruban
B. Kololli 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
57′
66′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ D. Males
71′
🔁 D. Mistrafovic
↦ Ryder Matos
Kevin Ruegg 🟨
74′
2–3 B. Kramer ⚽
B. Kololli
78′
80′
🟨 Silvan Sidler
A. Winter 🔁
↦ M. Kempter
83′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
31 M. Kryeziu D
24 M. Kempter D
3 Nathan D
27 M. Schönbächler M
10 A. Marchesano M
18 B. Kramer F
22 K. Rüegg D
8 V. Janjičić M
14 T. Domgjoni M
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
23 M. Mahi
70 B. Kololli
7 A. Winter
17 U. Bangura
71 H. Kryeziu
77 W. Britto
1 A. Vaņins

Coach: L. Magnin

Luzern

4-2-3-1
32 M. Müller G
5 Lucão D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
42 I. Voca M
21 A. Balaruban D
8 W. Ndenge M
77 Ryder Matos M
9 F. Margiotta F
7 I. Ndiaye M
29 D. Males M
Bench (7)
17 S. Grether
11 P. Schürpf
25 D. Mistrafovic
10 B. Eleke
23 S. Enzler
20 S. Demhasaj
46 M. Burch

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.