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Super League

Referee: A Bieri

St. Gallen

T S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Lugano

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,8

2,0

Scored

3,2

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Super League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

61%

28%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

83%

44%

Both score Ø 59%

78%

39%

Average goals

3,7

2,1

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 3. · Lugano 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	11	5	2	+15	38
2	Basel	18	11	3	4	+24	36
3	St. Gallen	18	11	2	5	+17	35
4	Servette	19	8	6	5	+11	30
5	Zurich	19	9	3	7	-10	30
6	Lugano	18	5	6	7	-1	21
7	Luzern	19	6	3	10	-9	21
8	Sion	18	6	3	9	-10	21
9	Xamax	19	2	8	9	-13	14
10	Thun	18	2	3	13	-24	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	9	7	2	0	+14	23
2	Basel	9	7	1	1	+18	22
3	St. Gallen	9	5	1	3	+8	16
4	Zurich	10	5	1	4	-5	16
5	Servette	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Sion	9	3	2	4	-2	11
7	Luzern	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Lugano	9	1	4	4	-6	7
9	Xamax	10	1	3	6	-7	6
10	Thun	9	0	2	7	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	9	6	1	2	+9	19
2	Servette	10	4	3	3	+6	15
3	Young Boys	9	4	3	2	+1	15
4	Basel	9	4	2	3	+6	14
5	Lugano	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Zurich	9	4	2	3	-5	14
7	Luzern	10	3	1	6	-6	10
8	Sion	9	3	1	5	-8	10
9	Xamax	9	1	5	3	-6	8
10	Thun	9	2	1	6	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.