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Super League
Referee: F San
Xamax
T U U T U
0–1
Full-time
Luzern
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Xamax Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
10%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
70%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
24 Shots 13
13 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 13
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Xamax 9. · Luzern 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 21 13 5 3 +16 44
2 St. Gallen 20 13 2 5 +20 41
3 Basel 21 12 3 6 +25 39
4 Servette 20 9 6 5 +13 33
5 Zurich 21 9 4 8 -14 31
6 Luzern 20 7 3 10 -7 24
7 Lugano 20 5 7 8 -3 22
8 Sion 21 6 4 11 -12 22
9 Xamax 20 2 9 9 -13 15
10 Thun 20 3 3 14 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Xamax Luzern
13′
I. Voca 0–1
F. Margiotta
Arbenit Xhemajli 🟨
32′
35′
🔁 D. Mistrafovic
↦ I. Voca
37′
🟨 Ryder Matos
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Silvan Sidler
61′
🔁 C. Schwegler
↦ F. Margiotta
T. Sulejmanov 🔁
↦ G. Karlen
62′
Igor Djuric 🟨
63′
Andre Neitzke 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ Ryder Matos
69′
🟨 Simon Grether
S. Ramizi 🔁
↦ Y. Tafer
69′
Samir Ramizi 🟨
74′
79′
🟨 Ibrahima Ndiaye
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ M. Gomes
80′
90′
🟨 Pascal Schürpf
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Xamax

3-5-2
30 L. Walthert G
55 I. Đurić D
23 M. Gomes M
4 Andre Luis D
27 A. Xhemajli D
16 L. Seydoux M
26 S. Dié M
91 Y. Tafer M
20 M. Araz M
14 R. Nuzzolo F
11 G. Karlen F
Bench (7)
17 T. Sulejmanov
8 S. Ramizi
19 M. Haile-Selassie
32 M. Minder
25 M. Ošs
88 F. Mveng
7 T. Corbaz

Coach: J. Magnin

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether D
5 Lucão D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
42 I. Voca M
8 W. Ndenge M
77 Ryder Matos M
9 F. Margiotta F
7 I. Ndiaye M
29 D. Males F
Bench (7)
25 D. Mistrafovic
27 C. Schwegler
11 P. Schürpf
23 S. Enzler
20 S. Demhasaj
46 M. Burch
10 B. Eleke

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.