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Champions League
Referee: Andris Treimanis
Hearts
S U S T T
0–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jul -26 Sturm Graz – Hearts 4–0

Match report

Hearts Sturm Graz
28′
ℹ️ Seedy Jatta
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Fosso
↦ L. Weinhandl
S. Findlay 🔁
↦ S. Kingsley
47′
61′
🟨 Albert Vallci
64′
⚽ S. Seidl 0–1
J. Gorenc Stankovic
68′
⚽ E. Soglo 0–2
P. Kabore 🔁
↦ C. Miller
69′
A. Ba-Sy 🔁
↦ S. Guendouz
69′
T. Renaud 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
69′
72′
🔁 B. Beganovic
↦ S. Wlodarczyk
76′
🔁 A. Malic
↦ E. Soglo
77′
🔁 G. Mamageishvili
↦ J. Hodl
J. McCart 🔁
↦ A. Kyziridis
80′
81′
🔁 J. Halwachs
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovic
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
23 J. Altena D
64 M. Fagan-Walcott D
3 S. Kingsley D
18 H. Milne D
16 B. Spittal M
6 O. McEntee M
7 C. Miller M
19 S. Guendouz M
89 A. Kyziridis M
10 C. Braga F
Bench (10)
30 R. Fulton
28 Z. Clark
29 S. Kerjota
22 T. Magnusson
11 P. Kabore
77 A. Ba-Sy
17 S. Findlay
5 J. McCart
12 T. Renaud
21 J. Wilson

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Sturm Graz

4-4-2
53 D. Khudyakov G
28 J. Heil D
5 A. Vallci D
2 J. Mitchell D
18 E. Soglo D
19 S. Seidl M
39 L. Weinhandl M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
43 J. Hodl M
17 S. Wlodarczyk F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (12)
22 A. Helac
41 E. Lorenz
10 O. Kiteishvili
15 G. Mamageishvili
80 R. Fosso
26 B. Beganovic
21 P. Petrovic
30 P. Koller
40 J. Halwachs
44 N. Weiper
11 A. Kayombo
23 A. Malic

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.