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Champions League
Referee: Gergo Bogar
Sturm Graz
U U U S S
4–0
Full-time
Hearts
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
20 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 12
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Hearts
1–0 J. Gorenc Stankovic ⚽
J. Mitchell
4′
2–0 ⚽
38′
Szymon Włodarczyk ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
39′
Half-time 2–0
O. Kiteishvili 🔁
↦ S. Seidl
46′
47′
🟨 Oisin McEntee
3–0 J. Mitchell ⚽
O. Kiteishvili
50′
4–0 L. Weinhandl ⚽
J. Hodl
53′
Jon Gorenc Stanković 🟨
56′
59′
🔁 S. Kerjota
↦ C. Miller
59′
🔁 A. Ba-Sy
↦ P. Kabore
59′
🔁 S. Guendouz
↦ A. Kyziridis
5–0 J. Heil ⚽
L. Weinhandl
59′
R. Fosso 🔁
↦ J. Hodl
70′
N. Weiper 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
70′
A. Kayombo 🔁
↦ S. Wlodarczyk
70′
75′
🔁 T. Renaud
↦ B. Spittal
A. Malic 🔁
↦ E. Soglo
79′
84′
🔁 T. Magnusson
↦ O. McEntee
86′
🟨 Amadou Ba-Sy
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-4-2
53 D. Khudyakov G
28 J. Heil D
5 A. Vallci D
2 J. Mitchell D
18 E. Soglo D
19 S. Seidl M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
39 L. Weinhandl M
43 J. Hodl M
17 S. Wlodarczyk F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (12)
22 A. Helac
41 E. Lorenz
10 O. Kiteishvili
15 G. Mamageishvili
80 R. Fosso
26 B. Beganovic
21 P. Petrovic
30 P. Koller
27 G. Haider
44 N. Weiper
11 A. Kayombo
23 A. Malic

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 C. Borchgrevink D
64 M. Fagan-Walcott D
5 J. McCart D
18 H. Milne D
16 B. Spittal M
6 O. McEntee M
7 C. Miller M
10 C. Braga M
89 A. Kyziridis M
11 P. Kabore F
Bench (11)
30 R. Fulton
28 Z. Clark
3 S. Kingsley
29 S. Kerjota
22 T. Magnusson
77 A. Ba-Sy
17 S. Findlay
12 T. Renaud
19 S. Guendouz
23 J. Altena
21 J. Wilson

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.