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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäeger
Tirol
T U S T S
2–0
Full-time
Ried
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 61%
52%
70%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tirol 9. · Ried 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 22 4 1 +49 70
2 Sturm Graz 27 14 7 6 +19 49
3 Austria Vienna 27 9 11 7 +7 38
4 SK Rapid 27 10 8 9 +5 38
5 Wolfsberger AC 27 11 4 12 -6 37
6 A. Klagenfurt 27 8 10 9 -11 34
7 Ried 27 8 9 10 -12 33
8 LASK 27 7 10 10 +3 31
9 Tirol 27 7 9 11 -19 30
10 Admira 27 6 11 10 -3 29
11 Hartberg 27 5 10 12 -8 25
12 Altach 27 5 7 15 -24 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Ried
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Lackner
↦ J. Weberbauer
Fabian Koch 🟨
59′
T. Prica 🔁
↦ S. Ogrinec
60′
Raffael Behounek 🟨
63′
64′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ L. Mikić
66′
🟨 Luca Meisl
1–0 T. Sabitzer
67′
M. Awoudja 🔁
↦ S. Skrbo
70′
74′
🔁 S. Chabbi
↦ L. Meisl
75′
🟨 Tin Plavotić
J. Ertlthaler 🔁
↦ T. Sabitzer
78′
F. Bacher 🔁
↦ F. Koch
78′
Dominik Stumberger 🟨
79′
2–0 J. Ertlthaler
V. Müller
86′
90′
🟨 Tin Plavotić
90′
🟥 Tin Plavotić
Tim Prica 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-1-1
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
44 K. Schulz D
30 R. Behounek D
26 D. Štumberger D
10 B. Blume M
98 S. Ogrinec F
4 V. Müller M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
23 S. Skrbo M
7 T. Sabitzer F
Bench (7)
33 T. Prica
15 M. Awoudja
77 J. Ertlthaler
5 F. Bacher
13 B. Ozegovic
19 J. Forst
14 A. Ranacher

Coach: T. Silberberger

Ried

3-4-1-2
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
24 T. Plavotić D
2 L. Meisl D
23 J. Weberbauer M
4 M. Ziegl D
22 S. Nutz F
12 A. Bajic F
20 M. Şatin M
17 P. Pomer M
37 N. Stošić M
21 L. Mikić F
Bench (7)
16 M. Lackner
45 N. Dorgeles
9 S. Chabbi
33 J. Wendlinger
7 M. Canadi
25 F. Seiwald
11 D. Offenbacher

Coach: C. Heinle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Jäeger · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.