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Bundesliga
Referee: J Semler
Salzburg
T S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Tirol
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
41%
24%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 38%
41%
35%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
27 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
12 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 5. · Tirol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 17 11 4 2 +24 37
2 Austria Vienna 17 10 4 3 +12 34
3 Wolfsberger AC 17 9 2 6 +10 29
4 SK Rapid 17 7 7 3 +3 28
5 Salzburg 17 7 6 4 +7 27
6 BW Linz 17 7 3 7 -1 24
7 LASK 17 6 3 8 -2 21
8 Hartberg 17 5 6 6 -2 21
9 Tirol 17 4 5 8 -7 17
10 A. Klagenfurt 17 4 4 9 -21 16
11 Grazer AK 17 3 6 8 -11 15
12 Altach 17 2 4 11 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Tirol
2′
Q. Butler 0–1
B. Blume
Hendry Blank 🟨
22′
22′
🟨 Quincy Butler
Half-time 0–1
J. Gadou 🔁
↦ M. Caufriez
46′
M. Yeo 🔁
↦ B. Clark
46′
1–1 M. Yeo
Y. Vertessen
53′
63′
🔁 D. Jaunegg
↦ B. Blume
63′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ M. Diarra
63′
🔁 C. Üstündag
↦ Y. Vötter
D. Nene 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
64′
68′
🟨 Valentino Müller
Mads Bidstrup 🟨
71′
85′
🔁 T. Anselm
↦ Q. Butler
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
24 A. Schlager G
39 L. Morgalla D
6 S. Baidoo D
2 M. Caufriez D
4 H. Blank D
7 N. Capaldo M
18 M. Bidstrup M
10 B. Clark M
30 O. Gloukh M
28 A. Daghim F
11 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (7)
23 J. Gadou
49 M. Yeo
45 D. Nene
20 E. Baidoo
37 T. Trummer
1 J. Blaswich
15 M. Diambou

Coach: T. Letsch

Tirol

3-4-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
24 J. David D
5 J. Lawrence D
3 D. Gugganig D
7 Q. Butler M
17 J. Naschberger M
4 V. Müller M
6 L. Sulzbacher M
10 B. Blume F
21 Y. Vötter F
8 M. Diarra F
Bench (7)
27 D. Jaunegg
16 L. Hinterseer
20 C. Üstündag
11 T. Anselm
14 A. Ranacher
28 T. Geris
1 P. Schermer

Coach: P. Semlic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Semler · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.