Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | +61 | 66 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | +32 | 53 |
| 3 |
Dundee United
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +4 | 37 |
| 4 |
Aberdeen
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 35 |
| 5 |
Hibernian
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +0 | 33 |
| 6 |
Motherwell
|
25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 7 |
Hearts
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | +1 | 30 |
| 8 |
St Mirren
|
25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 |
Kilmarnock
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 |
Dundee
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -16 | 27 |
| 11 |
Ross County
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -23 | 26 |
| 12 |
ST Johnstone
|
25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -20 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. O'Hara
G
B. Lyons
D
J. Wright
D
L. Mayo
D
R. Deas
D
C. Ndaba
M
B. Wales
F
Coach: D. McInnes
A. Fisher
G
B. Mikulić
D
E. Watt
M
D. Wright
M
Coach: S. Valakari
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kilmarnock
Dundee United
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.