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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Kilmarnock
S T U T S
3–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
28%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
68%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · ST Johnstone 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 21 3 1 +61 66
2 Rangers 25 16 5 4 +32 53
3 Dundee United 25 10 7 8 +4 37
4 Aberdeen 25 10 5 10 -6 35
5 Hibernian 25 8 9 8 +0 33
6 Motherwell 25 9 4 12 -12 31
7 Hearts 25 8 6 11 +1 30
8 St Mirren 25 9 3 13 -9 30
9 Kilmarnock 25 7 7 11 -12 28
10 Dundee 25 7 6 12 -16 27
11 Ross County 25 6 8 11 -23 26
12 ST Johnstone 25 6 3 16 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
1–0 L. Polworth
B. Wales
9′
23′
🔁 S. Duke-McKenna
↦ V. Griffith
41′
🟨 Drey Wright
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Steven
↦ B. Douglas
46′
🔁 Z. Mitchell
↦ S. Curtis
Lewis Mayo 🟨
49′
2–0 F. Murray
56′
57′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ E. Watt
3–0 B. Wales
L. Mayo
60′
D. Watson 🔁
↦ K. Magennis
67′
68′
🔁 A. Sidibeh
↦ M. Kirk
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ B. Wales
80′
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
85′
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
85′
M. Kennedy 🔁
↦ F. Murray
85′
91′
G. Carey 3–1
J. Svedberg
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-3-3
1 K. O'Hara G
8 B. Lyons D
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
16 K. Magennis M
31 L. Polworth M
3 C. Ndaba M
24 B. Wales F
23 M. Watkins F
15 F. Murray F
Bench (9)
12 D. Watson
19 B. Anderson
18 I. Cameron
22 L. Donnelly
10 M. Kennedy
21 C. Ramsay
11 D. Armstrong
2 T. Wilson-Brown
20 R. McCrorie

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fisher G
4 D. Balodis D
2 B. Mikulić D
30 B. Douglas D
37 S. Curtis M
23 S. Sprangler M
44 E. Watt M
14 D. Wright M
8 J. Svedberg F
6 V. Griffith F
27 M. Kirk F
Bench (9)
21 S. Duke-McKenna
19 T. Steven
5 Z. Mitchell
11 G. Carey
16 A. Sidibeh
46 F. Franczak
20 R. Sinclair
10 N. Clark
7 J. Holt

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,38
B
4,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.