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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Salzburg
T T U S U
0–3
Full-time
Paris SG
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 42%
44%
40%
Average goals
3,4
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,15 xG 3,18
30% Possession 70%
3 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salzburg Paris SG
30′
Gonçalo Ramos 0–1
A. Hakimi
Daouda Guindo 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–1
Lucas Gourna-Douath 🟨
53′
B. Clark 🔁
↦ M. Yeo
57′
A. Daghim 🔁
↦ P. Ratkov
57′
Stefan Bajčetić 🔁
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
66′
66′
🔁 D. Doué
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
72′
Nuno Mendes 0–2
73′
🔁 W. Zaïre-Emery
↦ Fabián Ruiz
Nicolás Capaldo 🟨
75′
T. Kawamura 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
81′
A. Terzić 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
81′
83′
🔁 L. Hernández
↦ Nuno Mendes
85′
D. Doué 0–3
A. Hakimi
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
24 A. Schlager G
7 N. Capaldo D
70 A. Dedić D
6 S. Baidoo D
29 D. Guindo D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
49 M. Yeo M
30 O. Gloukh M
45 D. Nene M
21 P. Ratkov F
Bench (11)
10 B. Clark
28 A. Daghim
8 Stefan Bajčetić
16 T. Kawamura
3 A. Terzić
92 S. Hamzić
36 J. Mellberg
5 B. Okoh
62 V. Oelz
4 H. Blank
15 M. Diambou

Coach: P. Lijnders

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
8 Fabián Ruiz M
17 Vitinha M
87 João Neves M
19 Lee Kang-In F
9 Gonçalo Ramos F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (10)
14 D. Doué
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
21 L. Hernández
37 M. Škriniar
23 R. Kolo Muani
35 Beraldo
39 M. Safonov
11 Marco Asensio
80 Arnau Tenas
42 Y. Zague

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.