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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Tirol

T S T U S

0–3

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

27%

67%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

47%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,1

3,5

Scored

0,9

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

7 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Tirol 9. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	15	10	3	2	+21	33
2	Austria Vienna	15	9	3	3	+9	30
3	SK Rapid	15	7	6	2	+5	27
4	Wolfsberger AC	15	7	2	6	+7	23
5	Salzburg	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	LASK	15	6	2	7	-1	20
7	BW Linz	15	6	2	7	-2	20
8	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	-5	17
9	Tirol	15	4	4	7	-4	16
10	A. Klagenfurt	14	4	3	7	-17	15
11	Grazer AK	15	2	6	7	-9	12
12	Altach	15	2	4	9	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	6	1	1	+17	19
2	Austria Vienna	7	6	1	0	+9	19
3	SK Rapid	8	6	1	1	+7	19
4	Salzburg	6	4	1	1	+10	13
5	BW Linz	7	4	0	3	+4	12
6	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	2	3	+3	11
8	A. Klagenfurt	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Tirol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
10	LASK	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Grazer AK	7	1	3	3	-2	6
12	Altach	8	1	3	4	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	7	4	2	1	+4	14
2	LASK	7	4	1	2	+2	13
3	Wolfsberger AC	7	4	0	3	+4	12
4	Austria Vienna	8	3	2	3	+0	11
5	Tirol	8	3	0	5	-3	9
6	Salzburg	8	2	3	3	-6	9
7	SK Rapid	7	1	5	1	-2	8
8	BW Linz	8	2	2	4	-6	8
9	A. Klagenfurt	7	2	1	4	-14	7
10	Grazer AK	8	1	3	4	-7	6
11	Hartberg	7	1	2	4	-7	5
12	Altach	7	1	1	5	-6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.