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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Crystal Palace

S S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Everton

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 44%

54%

33%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,72 xG 0,96

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crystal Palace 12. · Everton 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Liverpool	24	17	6	1	+35	+33.6	57
2	Arsenal	25	15	8	2	+29	+19.5	53
3	Nott'm Forest	25	14	5	6	+12	+3.6	47
4	Man City	25	13	5	7	+17	+11.7	44
5	Bournemouth	25	12	7	6	+15	+15.1	43
6	Chelsea	25	12	7	6	+13	+13.8	43
7	Newcastle	25	12	5	8	+9	+10.3	41
8	Fulham	25	10	9	6	+5	+8.1	39
9	Aston Villa	25	10	8	7	-3	+6.9	38
10	Brighton	25	9	10	6	+0	-2.9	37
11	Brentford	25	10	4	11	+1	-0.3	34
12	Crystal Palace	24	7	9	8	-2	+0.6	30
13	Man United	24	8	5	11	-6	-3.0	29
14	Tottenham	24	8	3	13	+11	-0.9	27
15	Everton	24	6	9	9	-5	-5.0	27
16	West Ham	25	7	6	12	-18	-10.0	27
17	Wolves	24	5	4	15	-18	-13.8	19
18	Ipswich	25	3	8	14	-27	-28.4	17
19	Leicester	25	4	5	16	-30	-25.5	17
20	Southampton	25	2	3	20	-38	-33.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	12	8	4	0	+17	+14.4	28
2	Liverpool	11	8	2	1	+15	+14.5	26
3	Man City	12	8	2	2	+13	+11.6	26
4	Nott'm Forest	12	7	3	2	+12	+6.3	24
5	Aston Villa	13	6	6	1	+6	+13.5	24
6	Brentford	13	7	2	4	+4	+4.1	23
7	Chelsea	12	6	4	2	+7	+11.0	22
8	Bournemouth	12	6	3	3	+8	+9.4	21
9	Newcastle	12	6	2	4	+6	+5.2	20
10	Fulham	13	5	5	3	+1	+3.2	20
11	Brighton	12	4	6	2	+3	+3.0	18
12	Everton	13	4	5	4	+3	-0.3	17
13	Man United	13	5	1	7	-5	+0.3	16
14	Tottenham	12	4	2	6	+4	+0.2	14
15	West Ham	13	4	2	7	-11	-7.5	14
16	Crystal Palace	12	2	5	5	-8	+0.4	11
17	Wolves	12	3	1	8	-8	-4.9	10
18	Leicester	13	2	3	8	-12	-10.9	9
19	Ipswich	13	1	4	8	-17	-10.3	7
20	Southampton	12	1	1	10	-24	-19.4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Liverpool	13	9	4	0	+20	+19.1	31
2	Arsenal	13	7	4	2	+12	+5.1	25
3	Nott'm Forest	13	7	2	4	+0	-2.7	23
4	Bournemouth	13	6	4	3	+7	+5.8	22
5	Chelsea	13	6	3	4	+6	+2.8	21
6	Newcastle	13	6	3	4	+3	+5.0	21
7	Crystal Palace	12	5	4	3	+6	+0.2	19
8	Fulham	12	5	4	3	+4	+4.9	19
9	Brighton	13	5	4	4	-3	-5.9	19
10	Man City	13	5	3	5	+4	+0.1	18
11	Aston Villa	12	4	2	6	-9	-6.7	14
12	Tottenham	12	4	1	7	+7	-1.1	13
13	Man United	11	3	4	4	-1	-3.2	13
14	West Ham	12	3	4	5	-7	-2.5	13
15	Brentford	12	3	2	7	-3	-4.4	11
16	Everton	11	2	4	5	-8	-4.7	10
17	Ipswich	12	2	4	6	-10	-18.1	10
18	Wolves	12	2	3	7	-10	-8.9	9
19	Leicester	12	2	2	8	-18	-14.6	8
20	Southampton	13	1	2	10	-14	-13.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.