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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T U S S U

2–1

Full-time

Hertha

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

57%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Hertha 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	22	12	4	6	+8	40
2	Kaiserslautern	22	11	6	5	+8	39
3	Hamburg	21	10	8	3	+19	38
4	Magdeburg	22	10	8	4	+14	38
5	Paderborn	22	10	7	5	+8	37
6	Elversberg	22	10	5	7	+10	35
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	9	7	5	+7	34
8	Hannover	22	9	7	6	+6	34
9	Nurnberg	21	9	4	8	+2	31
10	Karlsruhe	21	8	6	7	-1	30
11	Greuther Furth	22	7	5	10	-12	26
12	Darmstadt	22	6	7	9	+1	25
13	Hertha	21	7	4	10	-3	25
14	Schalke 04	21	6	6	9	-3	24
15	Braunschweig	22	5	6	11	-18	21
16	Preußen Münster	22	4	8	10	-8	20
17	Ulm	21	3	8	10	-4	17
18	Regensburg	21	4	2	15	-34	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Hamburg	11	5	6	0	+16	21
3	FC Koln	11	6	2	3	+9	20
4	Nurnberg	10	6	2	2	+5	20
5	Elversberg	12	6	2	4	+2	20
6	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+6	19
7	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Braunschweig	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Karlsruhe	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Greuther Furth	11	4	2	5	-7	14
11	Darmstadt	11	3	4	4	+3	13
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	4	4	-2	13
13	Regensburg	11	4	1	6	-8	13
14	Schalke 04	10	3	2	5	-3	11
15	Magdeburg	11	1	7	3	-3	10
16	Preußen Münster	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Ulm	10	2	3	5	+0	9
18	Hertha	10	2	1	7	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Paderborn	11	5	5	1	+4	20
4	Kaiserslautern	11	6	2	3	+2	20
5	FC Koln	11	6	2	3	-1	20
6	Hertha	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Hamburg	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Karlsruhe	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Elversberg	10	4	3	3	+8	15
10	Schalke 04	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Darmstadt	11	3	3	5	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	-5	12
13	Nurnberg	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Hannover	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Preußen Münster	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Ulm	11	1	5	5	-4	8
17	Braunschweig	11	1	3	7	-18	6
18	Regensburg	10	0	1	9	-26	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.