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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Santander
U S S S T
2–3
Full-time
Cadiz
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 43%
54%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 2. · Cadiz 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
2 Santander 26 14 6 6 +12 48
3 Huesca 26 13 7 6 +16 46
4 Elche 26 13 7 6 +15 46
5 Almeria 26 12 8 6 +11 44
6 Oviedo 26 12 8 6 +6 44
7 Levante 26 11 10 5 +12 43
8 Granada 26 11 8 7 +11 41
9 Sp Gijon 26 9 9 8 +4 36
10 La Coruna 26 9 8 9 +5 35
11 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
12 Malaga 27 7 14 6 +0 35
13 Zaragoza 26 9 7 10 +4 34
14 Cadiz 26 8 10 8 +2 34
15 Albacete 26 8 10 8 -3 34
16 Eibar 27 9 6 12 -5 33
17 Cordoba 26 9 6 11 -8 33
18 Burgos 25 8 6 11 -9 30
19 Eldense 26 6 7 13 -15 25
20 Ferrol 26 4 10 12 -24 22
21 Tenerife 26 4 7 15 -17 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Cadiz
17′
🟨 Javier Ontiveros
20′
🟨 Bojan Kovačević
Mario Garcia 🟨
39′
40′
Javi Ontiveros 0–1
Mario Climent
Half-time 0–1
Aritz Aldasoro 🔁
↦ Javi Castro
46′
49′
ℹ️ Chris Ramos
VAR: Penalty confirmed
51′
Álex Fernández 0–2
57′
Chris Ramos 0–3
Mario Climent
1–3 Pablo Rodríguez
60′
J. Arévalo 🔁
↦ Víctor Meseguer
61′
Saúl García 🔁
↦ Mario García
61′
Jon Karrikaburu 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
61′
Unai Vencedor 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 Fede San Emeterio
↦ Álex Fernández
Aritz Aldasoro 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ Javi Ontiveros
73′
🔁 José Matos
↦ José de la Rosa
78′
🟨 Moussa Diakité
80′
🟨 Fede San Emeterio
2–3 Jon Karrikaburu
Unai Vencedor
80′
S. Camara 🔁
↦ Marco Sangalli
81′
85′
🔁 Óscar Melendo
↦ Chris Ramos
85′
🔁 G. Escalante
↦ Rubén Sobrino
93′
🟨 David Gil
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
5 Javi Castro D
18 Manu Hernando D
24 Javi Montero D
40 Mario García D
23 Víctor Meseguer M
21 Unai Vencedor M
15 Marco Sangalli M
16 Róber M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
8 Aritz Aldasoro
29 J. Arévalo
3 Saúl García
19 Jon Karrikaburu
20 S. Camara
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
28 Marco Carrascal
7 L. Junior
4 Pol Moreno
32 Jorge Salinas
1 Miquel Parera
12 M. Gueye

Coach: José Alberto López

Cadiz

4-4-1-1
1 David Gil G
20 Iza Carcelén D
14 B. Kovačević D
5 Víctor Chust D
37 Mario Climent D
7 Rubén Sobrino M
27 M. Diakité M
8 Álex Fernández M
19 José de la Rosa M
22 Javi Ontiveros F
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (11)
6 Fede San Emeterio
23 Carlos Fernández
18 José Matos
25 Óscar Melendo
17 G. Escalante
15 F. Mwepu
3 Fali
32 Ruben Dominguez
13 José Antonio Caro
2 Joseba Zaldúa
9 Roger

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U
3,34
B ✓
3,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.