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Serie B
Referee: P Tremolada
Sassuolo
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Brescia
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
72%
24%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
60%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 1. · Brescia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 25 18 4 3 +31 58
2 Pisa 25 15 6 4 +17 51
3 Spezia 25 13 10 2 +23 49
4 Cremonese 25 11 7 7 +11 40
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 25 9 9 7 -1 36
7 Bari 25 7 12 6 +3 33
8 Cesena 25 9 6 10 -1 33
9 Palermo 25 8 7 10 +2 31
10 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
11 Modena 25 6 12 7 +0 30
12 Brescia 25 6 11 8 -3 29
13 Reggiana 25 7 7 11 -5 28
14 Sampdoria 25 6 10 9 -6 28
15 Mantova 25 6 10 9 -8 28
16 Carrarese 25 7 6 12 -10 27
17 Cosenza 25 5 10 10 -7 25
18 Salernitana 25 6 7 12 -10 25
19 Sudtirol 25 7 4 14 -13 25
20 Frosinone 25 4 10 11 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Brescia
1–0 M. Lovato
D. Berardi
34′
Jeremy Toljan 🟨
41′
43′
🟨 Lorenzo Dickmann
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Corrado
↦ L. Dickmann
46′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ M. Besaggio
Pedro Obiang 🔁
↦ A. Ghion
58′
L. Lipani 🔁
↦ E. Iannoni
58′
L. Moro 🔁
↦ S. Mulattieri
59′
72′
🔁 M. Bertagnoli
↦ D. Bisoli
2–0 A. Laurienté
L. Moro
73′
75′
🟨 Matthias Verreth
76′
🔁 G. Moncini
↦ G. Borrelli
77′
🔁 A. Jurič
↦ L. DAndrea
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
80′
Pedro Obiang 🟨
90′
F. Romagna 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
20 M. Lovato D
80 T. Muharemović D
3 J. Doig D
40 E. Iannoni M
8 A. Ghion M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi F
9 S. Mulattieri F
45 A. Laurienté F
Bench (12)
14 Pedro Obiang
35 L. Lipani
24 L. Moro
77 N. Pierini
19 F. Romagna
33 K. Bonifazi
15 E. Pieragnolo
17 Y. Paz
12 G. Satalino
7 C. Volpato
26 C. Odenthal
99 S. Verdi

Coach: F. Grosso

Brescia

4-5-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
5 G. Calvani D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
16 L. D'Andrea M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 M. Verreth M
39 M. Besaggio M
20 P. Nuamah M
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (11)
19 N. Corrado
8 B. Bjarnason
26 M. Bertagnoli
11 G. Moncini
7 A. Jurič
22 L. Andrenacci
12 M. Avella
33 Z. Muça
32 A. Papetti
9 F. Bianchi
14 G. Maucci

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,34
B
5,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.