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Svenska Cupen

Referee: R Hasani

Varnamo

T S U U S

3–4

Full-time

Trelleborg

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Trelleborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varnamo 37. · Trelleborg 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stockholm Internazionale	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
3	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Karlberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
11	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
14	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	AIK	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.