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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Slask Wroclaw
U T T T U
3–0
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 20%
5%
35%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
40%
45%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 18. · Widzew Lodz 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 21 13 2 6 +20 +10.9 41
2 Rakow 21 11 7 3 +14 +10.6 40
3 Jagiellonia 20 11 5 4 +11 -0.1 38
4 Cracovia 21 9 7 5 +8 +0.2 34
5 Legia 20 9 6 5 +12 +10.2 33
6 Pogon Szczecin 20 10 3 7 +8 +9.1 33
7 Gornik Zabrze 20 9 4 7 +3 +4.1 31
8 GKS Katowice 20 8 5 7 +4 +0.9 29
9 Motor Lublin 20 8 5 7 -4 -1.5 29
10 Piast Gliwice 20 7 7 6 +3 -2.3 28
11 Widzew Lodz 20 7 5 8 -4 -3.2 26
12 Korona Kielce 21 5 8 8 -11 -4.7 23
13 Stal Mielec 20 6 4 10 -5 +4.6 22
14 Zaglebie 20 6 4 10 -11 -7.1 22
15 Radomiak Radom 20 6 3 11 -8 -0.6 21
16 Puszcza 20 4 7 9 -10 -10.7 19
17 Lechia Gdansk 20 4 6 10 -14 -16.2 18
18 Slask Wroclaw 20 1 8 11 -16 -4.3 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Widzew Lodz
1–0 P. Samiec-Talar
Marc Llinares
4′
Aleksander Paluszek 🟨
32′
34′
🟨 Hubert Sobol
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Pawel Kwiatkowski
1–1 Luís Silva
own goal
59′
62′
🔁 D. Gryzio
↦ M. Hanousek
62′
🔁 N. Stachowicz
↦ J. Łukowski
63′
🟨 Pawel Kwiatkowski
63′
🟥 Pawel Kwiatkowski
69′
🟨 Samuel Kozlovský
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ A. Al Hamlawi
70′
2–1 M. Żukowski
P. Samiec-Talar
77′
J. Jezierski 🔁
↦ José Pozo
80′
Arnau Ortiz 🔁
↦ M. Żukowski
80′
Tudor Băluță 🟨
81′
K. Kurowski 🔁
↦ Marc Llinares
85′
S. Schierack 🔁
↦ T. Băluță
85′
85′
🔁 H. Gong
↦ H. Sobol
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

4-2-3-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
78 T. Guercio D
33 Y. Matsenko D
2 A. Paluszek D
28 Marc Llinares D
21 T. Băluță M
17 P. Schwarz M
7 P. Samiec-Talar M
8 José Pozo M
22 M. Żukowski M
9 A. Al Hamlawi F
Bench (9)
11 S. Musiolik
29 J. Jezierski
19 Arnau Ortiz
13 K. Kurowski
18 S. Schierack
6 Ł. Gerstenstein
1 T. Loska
26 B. Ince
39 S. Rygiel

Coach: A. Šimundža

Widzew Lodz

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
21 P. Kwiatkowski D
4 M. Żyro D
2 Luís Silva D
3 S. Kozlovský D
77 J. Sypek M
6 J. Shehu M
25 M. Hanousek M
7 J. Łukowski M
17 H. Sobol F
37 S. Kerk F
Bench (8)
18 D. Gryzio
70 N. Stachowicz
8 H. Gong
44 N. Diliberto
24 P. Volanakis
30 J. Grzejszczak
23 L. Madej
33 J. Krzywanski

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Arys · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.