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Bundesliga

Referee: A Talic

Wolfsberger AC

T S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 59%

53%

65%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

65%

71%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

3,4

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

15 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 3. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	17	11	4	2	+24	37
2	Austria Vienna	17	10	4	3	+12	34
3	Wolfsberger AC	17	9	2	6	+10	29
4	SK Rapid	17	7	7	3	+3	28
5	Salzburg	17	7	6	4	+7	27
6	BW Linz	17	7	3	7	-1	24
7	LASK	17	6	3	8	-2	21
8	Hartberg	17	5	6	6	-2	21
9	Tirol	17	4	5	8	-7	17
10	A. Klagenfurt	17	4	4	9	-21	16
11	Grazer AK	17	3	6	8	-11	15
12	Altach	17	2	4	11	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Austria Vienna	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Sturm Graz	9	6	2	1	+17	20
3	SK Rapid	9	6	1	2	+5	19
4	Salzburg	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	BW Linz	8	5	0	3	+5	15
6	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	A. Klagenfurt	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	LASK	9	2	2	5	-3	8
10	Tirol	9	1	5	3	-4	8
11	Altach	9	1	3	5	-3	6
12	Grazer AK	8	1	3	4	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Wolfsberger AC	8	5	0	3	+6	15
3	LASK	8	4	1	3	+1	13
4	Austria Vienna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
5	Salzburg	9	2	4	3	-6	10
6	SK Rapid	8	1	6	1	-2	9
7	Tirol	8	3	0	5	-3	9
8	Hartberg	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	Grazer AK	9	2	3	4	-6	9
10	BW Linz	9	2	3	4	-6	9
11	A. Klagenfurt	9	2	1	6	-18	7
12	Altach	8	1	1	6	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.