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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Al Hakim
Hammarby
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Varberg
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
4,0
Scored
6,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+5,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 6. · Varberg 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stockholm Internazionale 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 AIK 2 1 1 0 +6 4
3 Degerfors 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Karlberg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Elfsborg 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Brommapojkarna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Skövde AIK 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
11 Mjallby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Kalmar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 +3 3
14 Berga 2 1 0 1 +3 3
15 Malmo FF 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
18 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 GAIS 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Trelleborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Vasteras SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Varberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Norrkoping 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Oster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Orebro SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Oddevold 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Goteborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Helsingborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Halmstad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Ariana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Hacken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Varnamo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Orgryte 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 IK brage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Gefle IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Huddinge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Täby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Enskede 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Simrishamn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Torslanda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
58 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
61 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 -5 3
62 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haga 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Varberg
1–0 P. Abraham
19′
37′
🟨 E. Hellman
N. Besara 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 O. Alfonsi
63′
🔁 R. Tranberg
↦ A. Winbo
64′
🔁 K. Appiah Nyarko
↦ A. Bitiqi
65′
K. Appiah Nyarko 1–1
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ A. Boudah
70′
70′
🔁 H. Zackrisson
↦ E. Tellgren
70′
🔁 N. Mohudin
↦ O. Alfonsi
A. Akimey 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
83′
83′
🔁 A. Thorsson
↦ O. Edlund
92′
🟨 R. Tranberg
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hammarby

1 W. Hahn
6 P. Vagić
19 S. Pinas
4 V. Eriksson
2 H. Skoglund
20 N. Besara
5 T. Tekie
8 M. Karlsson
23 A. Boudah
7 P. Abraham
9 J. Erabi
Bench (9)
13 J. Karlsson
A. Akimey
40 A. Lahdo
27 F. Jakobsson
17 I. Fofana
31 J. Kanga
K. Gyamfi
21 S. Strand
44 W. Uhrström

Coach: K. Hellberg

Varberg

F. Andersson
N. Dahlström
G. Broman
E. Hellman
E. Tellgren
O. Edlund
A. Winbo
E. Sadiku
O. Alfonsi
I. Bjerkebo
A. Bitiqi
Bench (9)
R. Tranberg
K. Appiah Nyarko
H. Zackrisson
N. Mohudin
A. Thorsson
A. Wiklund
L. Frigell Jansson
L. Olausson
O. Ekman

Coach: R. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.