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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Salzburg

T T S T U

0–0

Full-time

Grazer AK

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 28%

56%

Points per game

1,9

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

55%

Both score Ø 63%

44%

82%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

16 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 5. · Grazer AK 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	11	8	1	2	+13	25
2	SK Rapid	11	6	4	1	+4	22
3	Austria Vienna	11	5	3	3	+4	18
4	Wolfsberger AC	11	5	2	4	+6	17
5	Salzburg	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Hartberg	10	4	3	3	+1	15
7	BW Linz	11	4	2	5	-3	14
8	LASK	11	4	1	6	-1	13
9	A. Klagenfurt	10	3	3	4	-6	12
10	Altach	11	2	3	6	-4	9
11	Tirol	11	2	3	6	-7	9
12	Grazer AK	11	0	5	6	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SK Rapid	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Sturm Graz	6	5	0	1	+10	15
3	Austria Vienna	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Hartberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	BW Linz	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Wolfsberger AC	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	LASK	6	2	0	4	-1	6
9	Altach	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	A. Klagenfurt	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Grazer AK	5	0	3	2	-2	3
12	Tirol	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	0	2	+4	9
3	Salzburg	6	2	2	2	-4	8
4	LASK	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	A. Klagenfurt	5	2	1	2	-5	7
6	SK Rapid	5	1	3	1	-2	6
7	Tirol	6	2	0	4	-5	6
8	Austria Vienna	6	1	2	3	-3	5
9	BW Linz	6	1	2	3	-6	5
10	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Altach	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Grazer AK	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.