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Bundesliga
Referee: G Grobelnik
Altach
T T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altach Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
20%
20%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,4
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
5 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altach 7. · Sturm Graz 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Sturm Graz 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 A. Klagenfurt 5 2 3 0 +5 9
4 SK Rapid 5 2 2 1 +8 8
5 LASK 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Hartberg 6 2 2 2 -3 8
7 Altach 5 2 1 2 -2 7
8 Wolfsberger AC 6 1 3 2 -3 6
9 Austria Vienna 5 1 1 3 -5 4
10 BW Linz 6 1 1 4 -9 4
11 A. Lustenau 5 0 2 3 -6 2
12 Tirol 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altach Sturm Graz
Christian Gebauer 🟨
-5′
Atdhe Nuhiu ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
25′
Half-time 0–0
Mike-Steven Bähre ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
54′
62′
O. Kiteishvili 0–1
66′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ W. Bøving
66′
🔁 A. Dante
↦ D. Schnegg
N. Bischof 🔁
↦ Gustavo Santos
67′
74′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
1–1 P. Koller
78′
Jan Jurčec 🔁
↦ C. Gebauer
81′
N. Edokpolor 🔁
↦ L. Lukačević
81′
87′
🔁 M. Fuseini
↦ M. Sarkaria
Noah Bischof 🟨
88′
Felix Strauss 🟨
88′
91′
M. Fuseini 1–2
O. Kiteishvili
Felix Strauss 🟨
95′
Felix Strauss 🟥
95′
A. Abdijanovic 🔁
↦ M. Bähre
96′
96′
🔁 A. Borković
↦ O. Kiteishvili
97′
🟨 Jusuf Gazibegović
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Altach

3-4-1-2
1 D. Stojanovic G
4 F. Strauß D
5 L. Gugganig D
15 P. Koller D
27 C. Gebauer M
23 L. Jäger M
8 M. Bähre M
12 L. Lukačević M
30 L. Fadinger F
9 A. Nuhiu F
20 Gustavo Santos F
Bench (7)
7 N. Bischof
28 Jan Jurčec
17 N. Edokpolor
22 A. Abdijanovic
32 T. Schützenauer
18 J. Zwischenbrugger
19 S. Aigner

Coach: J. Standfest

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
11 M. Sarkaria M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving M
9 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (7)
25 S. Hierländer
44 A. Dante
29 M. Fuseini
6 A. Borković
31 L. Marić
19 T. Horvat
17 Bryan Teixeira

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Grobelnik · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.