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Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

Freiburg

S U S T S

2–0

Full-time

Werder Bremen

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

25 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Freiburg 4. · Werder Bremen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Bayern Munich	10	5	4	1	+22	19
3	Mainz	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Freiburg	10	5	3	2	+1	18
5	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	M'gladbach	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Dortmund	10	5	1	4	-1	16
9	FC Koln	11	4	4	3	-3	16
10	Werder Bremen	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	RB Leipzig	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Augsburg	10	4	1	5	-5	13
13	Wolfsburg	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Stuttgart	10	1	5	4	-2	8
15	Hertha	10	1	5	4	-3	8
16	Leverkusen	10	2	2	6	-7	8
17	Schalke 04	10	1	3	6	-14	6
18	Bochum	10	1	1	8	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Union Berlin	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+11	11
5	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	FC Koln	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Freiburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Mainz	5	1	3	1	+2	6
11	Wolfsburg	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Stuttgart	6	1	2	3	-1	5
13	Werder Bremen	5	1	1	3	+0	4
14	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
15	Hertha	5	0	4	1	-1	4
16	Augsburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Bochum	5	1	1	3	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mainz	6	4	0	2	+1	12
2	Werder Bremen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Union Berlin	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Augsburg	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+11	8
7	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Dortmund	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	FC Koln	6	1	3	2	-6	6
11	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	M'gladbach	5	0	4	1	-4	4
13	Wolfsburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2
17	RB Leipzig	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Bochum	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.