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Serie B

Referee: D Doveri

Ternana

S S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Genoa

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 62%

67%

56%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,9

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%

13 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 2. · Genoa 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	10	7	0	3	+9	21
2	Ternana	9	6	1	2	+5	19
3	Reggina	10	6	0	4	+11	18
4	Bari	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Genoa	9	5	3	1	+5	18
6	Brescia	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Sudtirol	10	5	2	3	-1	17
8	Parma	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Cagliari	9	4	2	3	+0	14
10	Spal	10	3	4	3	+2	13
11	Modena	9	4	0	5	+3	12
12	Ascoli	9	3	3	3	+0	12
13	Cosenza	10	3	2	5	-7	11
14	Cittadella	9	2	4	3	-4	10
15	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Como	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Palermo	9	2	2	5	-6	8
19	Pisa	9	1	4	4	-2	7
20	Perugia	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Reggina	5	4	0	1	+12	12
3	Brescia	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Ternana	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Parma	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Modena	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Spal	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Cagliari	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	Como	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Palermo	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	Cosenza	4	2	0	2	+1	6
14	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	Bari	4	1	2	1	+2	5
16	Ascoli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Benevento	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Perugia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Pisa	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Venezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Genoa	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Ternana	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Sudtirol	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Parma	5	1	3	1	+1	6
8	Frosinone	5	2	0	3	+0	6
9	Reggina	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Brescia	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Cagliari	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Benevento	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Cosenza	6	1	2	3	-8	5
15	Spal	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Modena	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Perugia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Cittadella	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Palermo	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Como	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.