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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
T T U T T
3–4
Full-time
Celtic
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
40%
90%
Points per game
1,4
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,1
4,1
Scored
1,5
3,5
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 7. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 10 9 0 1 +29 27
2 Rangers 10 8 1 1 +17 25
3 Hibernian 12 5 2 5 -2 17
4 Aberdeen 10 5 1 4 +5 16
5 St Mirren 10 5 1 4 -3 16
6 Livingston 10 5 0 5 -4 15
7 Hearts 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 Motherwell 11 4 1 6 +0 13
9 ST Johnstone 12 4 1 7 -4 13
10 Kilmarnock 11 2 3 6 -11 9
11 Dundee United 11 2 3 6 -13 9
12 Ross County 11 2 3 6 -13 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -22 Celtic – Hearts 2–0 7. May -22 Celtic – Hearts 4–1 26. Jan -22 Hearts – Celtic 1–2 2. Dec -21 Celtic – Hearts 1–0 31. Jul -21 Hearts – Celtic 2–1

Match report

Hearts Celtic
14′
⚽ J. Forrest 0–1
L. Shankland 🔁
↦ S. Humphrys
39′
41′
🟨 Moritz Jenz
Half-time 0–1
Cameron Devlin ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
46′
1–1 L. Shankland ⚽
J. Ginnelly
47′
2–1 L. Shankland ⚽
48′
Toby Sibbick 🟨
55′
55′
⚽ G. Giakoumakis 2–2
A. Mooy
59′
⚽ D. Maeda 2–3
Josh Ginnelly ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
3–3 L. Shankland ⚽
65′
66′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ J. Forrest
66′
🔁 S. Hakšabanović
↦ D. Maeda
66′
🔁 G. Taylor
↦ A. Bernabei
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ J. Ginnelly
70′
76′
⚽ G. Taylor 3–4
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ M. Smith
84′
C. Smith 🔁
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
85′
92′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ R. Hatate
Connor Smith 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Hearts

4-1-4-1
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith D
21 T. Sibbick D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
14 C. Devlin M
30 J. Ginnelly M
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
77 R. Snodgrass M
18 B. McKay M
29 S. Humphrys F
Bench (9)
9 L. Shankland
17 A. Forrest
16 A. Halliday
27 C. Smith
20 L. Neilson
13 R. Stewart
28 Z. Clark
7 J. Grant
22 E. Henderson

Coach: R. Neilson

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 M. Jenz D
25 A. Bernabei D
13 A. Mooy M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
49 J. Forrest F
7 G. Giakoumakis F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
11 L. Abada
9 S. Hakšabanović
3 G. Taylor
28 O. Abildgaard
8 K. Furuhashi
30 Y. Ideguchi
88 J. Juranović
31 B. Siegrist
16 J. McCarthy

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,04
🔒
U
5,40
🔒
B ✓
1,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,48
🔒
U2,5
2,60
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.