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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
Hartberg
T T T S T
1–5
Full-time
Tirol
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
64%
83%
Both score Ø 60%
45%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 12. · Tirol 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 12 9 2 1 +21 29
2 Sturm Graz 12 8 3 1 +14 27
3 LASK 12 6 4 2 +7 22
4 Austria Vienna 12 5 3 4 +0 18
5 A. Klagenfurt 12 5 2 5 -2 17
6 SK Rapid 11 4 2 5 +2 14
7 Wolfsberger AC 12 4 2 6 -1 14
8 Tirol 12 4 2 6 -6 14
9 A. Lustenau 12 3 3 6 -8 12
10 Ried 12 3 2 7 -9 11
11 Altach 12 3 2 7 -11 11
12 Hartberg 11 3 1 7 -7 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Tirol
-5′
🟨 Nik Prelec
1–0 L. Fadinger
D. Frieser
8′
Rene Swete 🟨
12′
34′
N. Prelec 1–1
T. Sabitzer
36′
L. Sulzbacher 1–2
45′
🟨 Valentino Müller
Half-time 1–3
57′
N. Prelec 1–3
S. Ogrinec
P. Farkas 🔁
↦ M. Kröpfl
61′
E. Almog 🔁
↦ R. Kriwak
61′
64′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ V. Müller
64′
🔁 D. Tomic
↦ S. Ogrinec
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ R. Providence
71′
Okan Aydin 🟨
76′
Eylon Almog 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 T. Prica
↦ N. Prelec
79′
🔁 Ž. Rogelj
↦ T. Sabitzer
83′
🔁 O. Okungbowa
↦ L. Sulzbacher
Dominik Frieser 🟨
84′
89′
Ž. Rogelj 1–4
B. Blume
92′
🟨 Tim Prica
95′
R. Swete 2–4
own goal
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Hartberg

3-4-1-2
1 R. Swete G
11 M. Horvat D
16 M. Sonnleitner D
22 M. Karamarko D
33 D. Frieser M
8 L. Fadinger M
23 T. Kainz M
70 R. Providence M
17 M. Kröpfl F
39 R. Kriwak F
24 D. Tadić F
Bench (7)
29 P. Farkas
10 E. Almog
9 O. Aydın
92 J. Knollmüller
12 M. Steinwender
35 R. Sallinger
5 M. Gollner

Coach: K. Schmidt

Tirol

4-3-1-2
25 F. Oswald G
14 A. Ranacher D
5 F. Bacher D
30 R. Behounek D
44 K. Schulz D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
4 V. Müller M
10 B. Blume M
98 S. Ogrinec M
9 N. Prelec F
7 T. Sabitzer F
Bench (7)
17 J. Naschberger
18 D. Tomic
33 T. Prica
21 Ž. Rogelj
16 O. Okungbowa
1 P. Schermer
19 J. Forst

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.