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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
Sturm Graz
U T S S S
1–3
Full-time
Salzburg
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. May -21 Sturm Graz – Salzburg 1–3 4. Apr -21 Salzburg – Sturm Graz 3–1 28. Feb -21 Sturm Graz – Salzburg 2–1 21. Nov -20 Salzburg – Sturm Graz 1–3 1. Jul -20 Salzburg – Sturm Graz 5–2

Match report

Sturm Graz Salzburg
0–1 A. Ulmer ⚽
own goal
11′
Andreas Kuen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
16′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Nicolás Capaldo
64′
🔁 L. Sučić
↦ N. Capaldo
A. Prass 🔁
↦ A. Kuen
66′
69′
⚽ K. Adeyemi 0–2
Z. Junuzović
Alexander Prass 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 D. Guindo
↦ A. Ulmer
76′
⚽ R. Kristensen 0–3
K. Adeyemi
M. Sarkaria 🔁
↦ A. Dante
79′
L. Jäger 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
79′
81′
🟨 Nicolas Seiwald
85′
⚽ K. Adeyemi 0–4
87′
🔁 C. Adamu
↦ K. Adeyemi
87′
🔁 A. Bernède
↦ B. Aaronson
C. Lang 🔁
↦ K. Yeboah
90′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
5 G. Wüthrich D
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen M
4 J. Stankovič M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
13 J. Jantscher F
9 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
8 A. Prass
11 M. Sarkaria
17 L. Jäger
26 C. Lang
35 N. Geyrhofer
32 T. Schützenauer
30 I. Ljubic

Coach: C. Ilzer

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
1 N. Mantl G
17 A. Ulmer D
39 M. Wöber D
43 R. Kristensen D
22 O. Solet D
16 Z. Junuzović M
11 B. Aaronson M
13 N. Seiwald M
7 N. Capaldo M
27 K. Adeyemi F
30 B. Šeško F
Bench (7)
21 L. Sučić
37 D. Guindo
9 C. Adamu
10 A. Bernède
6 J. Onguéné
18 P. Köhn
19 M. Camara

Coach: M. Jaissle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.