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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Sunderland
U U T S T
2–4
Full-time
Burnley
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Championship · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
53%
27%
Both score Ø 57%
47%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 13. · Burnley 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 QPR 15 8 3 4 +7 27
2 Blackburn 16 9 0 7 +3 27
3 Burnley 15 6 8 1 +12 26
4 Sheffield United 15 7 4 4 +10 25
5 Luton 15 6 6 3 +6 24
6 Norwich 15 7 3 5 +5 24
7 Swansea 15 7 3 5 -2 24
8 Millwall 15 7 2 6 +2 23
9 Preston 17 5 7 5 -3 22
10 Reading 15 7 1 7 -6 22
11 Rotherham 14 5 6 3 +3 21
12 Bristol City 16 6 3 7 +1 21
13 Sunderland 15 5 5 5 +3 20
14 Birmingham 15 5 5 5 +2 20
15 Watford 15 5 5 5 -1 20
16 Stoke 15 5 4 6 -1 19
17 Blackpool 16 5 4 7 -4 19
18 Wigan 15 5 4 6 -6 19
19 Cardiff 15 5 3 7 -5 18
20 Hull 15 5 2 8 -13 17
21 Middlesbrough 14 4 4 6 -1 16
22 West Brom 15 2 8 5 -1 14
23 Huddersfield 14 3 2 9 -6 11
24 Coventry 11 2 4 5 -5 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Burnley
2′
🟨 Jóhann Guðmundsson
1–0 A. Diallo
J. Clarke
16′
2–0 D. Neil
20′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Manuel
↦ A. Barnes
50′
N. Tella 2–1
T. Harwood-Bellis
52′
🟨 Taylor Harwood-Bellis
61′
B. Manuel 2–2
C. Roberts
J. Bennette 🔁
↦ A. Pritchard
65′
69′
A. Zaroury 2–3
J. Guðmunds­son
Danny Batth 🟨
72′
A. Ba 🔁
↦ E. Embleton
74′
É. Michut 🔁
↦ C. Evans
74′
74′
🔁 J. Cork
↦ J. Guðmunds­son
74′
🔁 J. Rodríguez
↦ N. Tella
80′
🟨 Josh Brownhill
83′
🔁 S. Bastien
↦ A. Zaroury
87′
J. Brownhill 2–4
B. Manuel
89′
🔁 L. McNally
↦ T. Harwood-Bellis
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 A. Patterson G
32 T. Hume D
13 L. O'Nien D
6 D. Batth D
3 D. Cirkin D
4 C. Evans M
24 D. Neil M
16 A. Diallo M
8 E. Embleton M
21 A. Pritchard M
20 J. Clarke F
Bench (7)
19 J. Bennette
17 A. Ba
25 É. Michut
27 J. Matete
7 L. Dajaku
26 B. Wright
12 A. Bass

Coach: T. Mowbray

Burnley

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
14 C. Roberts D
5 T. Harwood-Bellis D
3 C. Taylor D
22 Vitinho D
24 J. Cullen M
8 J. Brownhill M
23 N. Tella M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
19 A. Zaroury M
10 A. Barnes F
Bench (7)
17 B. Manuel
4 J. Cork
9 J. Rodríguez
26 S. Bastien
21 L. McNally
30 H. Dervişoğlu
15 B. Peacock-Farrell

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U
3,33
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.