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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Dortmund
S U U T S
5–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
50%
10%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
40%
70%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 8. · Stuttgart 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 10 7 2 1 +12 23
2 Bayern Munich 10 5 4 1 +22 19
3 Mainz 11 5 3 3 +3 18
4 Freiburg 10 5 3 2 +1 18
5 Hoffenheim 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 +4 17
7 M'gladbach 10 4 4 2 +4 16
8 Dortmund 10 5 1 4 -1 16
9 FC Koln 11 4 4 3 -3 16
10 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 RB Leipzig 10 4 3 3 +2 15
12 Augsburg 10 4 1 5 -5 13
13 Wolfsburg 10 2 4 4 -6 10
14 Stuttgart 10 1 5 4 -2 8
15 Hertha 10 1 5 4 -3 8
16 Leverkusen 10 2 2 6 -7 8
17 Schalke 04 10 1 3 6 -14 6
18 Bochum 10 1 1 8 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Stuttgart
1–0 J. Bellingham
N. Süle
2′
2–0 N. Süle
Raphaël Guerreiro
13′
3–0 G. Reyna
Y. Moukoko
44′
Half-time 3–0
Salih Özcan 🟨
46′
4–0 J. Bellingham
N. Schlotterbeck
53′
E. Can 🔁
↦ N. Schlotterbeck
56′
57′
🔁 C. Führich
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
57′
🔁 N. Nartey
↦ E. Millot
62′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ Tiago Tomás
T. Hazard 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
66′
A. Modeste 🔁
↦ G. Reyna
66′
F. Passlack 🔁
↦ M. Hummels
66′
5–0 Y. Moukoko
Raphaël Guerreiro
72′
74′
🔁 L. Pfeiffer
↦ S. Guirassy
74′
🔁 A. Karazor
↦ N. Ahamada
M. Wolf 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
80′
90′
ℹ️ Luca Pfeiffer
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
22 J. Bellingham M
6 S. Özcan M
27 K. Adeyemi M
19 J. Brandt M
7 G. Reyna M
18 Y. Moukoko F
Bench (8)
23 E. Can
10 T. Hazard
20 A. Modeste
30 F. Passlack
17 M. Wolf
47 A. Papadopoulos
33 A. Meyer
36 T. Rothe

Coach: E. Terzić

Stuttgart

3-5-2
1 F. Müller G
5 K. Mavropanos D
2 W. Anton D
23 D. Zagadou D
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
8 E. Millot M
3 W. Endo M
32 N. Ahamada M
24 B. Sosa M
9 S. Guirassy F
10 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
22 C. Führich
28 N. Nartey
11 J. Perea
20 L. Pfeiffer
16 A. Karazor
21 H. Ito
7 T. Coulibaly
44 N. Glaus
25 L. Egloff

Coach: M. Wimmer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,48
B
5,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.