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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Guingamp

S U U T T

1–1

Full-time

Bastia

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 34%

42%

25%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

13 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Guingamp 7. · Bastia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	12	7	3	2	+11	24
2	Le Havre	12	6	5	1	+14	23
3	Sochaux	12	7	2	3	+12	23
4	Amiens	13	7	2	4	+2	23
5	Valenciennes	12	6	4	2	+3	22
6	Grenoble	12	5	4	3	+2	19
7	Guingamp	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Caen	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Bastia	12	5	2	5	-4	17
10	Paris FC	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Metz	12	4	3	5	+1	15
12	St Etienne	13	3	5	5	-3	14
13	Quevilly Rouen	12	3	5	4	-4	14
14	Pau FC	12	3	5	4	-5	14
15	Laval	12	4	1	7	-1	13
16	Dijon	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Annecy	12	3	3	6	-2	12
18	Rodez	12	2	6	4	-5	12
19	Nimes	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Niort	12	2	2	8	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Valenciennes	6	4	2	0	+4	14
3	Sochaux	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Bordeaux	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Caen	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Grenoble	6	4	1	1	+3	13
7	Le Havre	6	3	3	0	+6	12
8	Metz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Nimes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Bastia	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Quevilly Rouen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Dijon	7	2	3	2	-2	9
13	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	St Etienne	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Pau FC	5	1	3	1	-2	6
16	Laval	6	1	1	4	-1	4
17	Paris FC	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Annecy	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Niort	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Rodez	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	7	3	3	1	+3	12
2	Le Havre	6	3	2	1	+8	11
3	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sochaux	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Guingamp	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Rodez	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Laval	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Annecy	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	Valenciennes	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Bastia	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Amiens	6	2	1	3	-5	7
13	Grenoble	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	St Etienne	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Caen	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Quevilly Rouen	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Metz	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Niort	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Nimes	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.