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Championship

Referee: G Ward

Blackburn

T S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Birmingham

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — Championship · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

50%

27%

Both score Ø 33%

25%

40%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%

5 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Blackburn 2. · Birmingham 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	QPR	15	8	3	4	+7	27
2	Blackburn	16	9	0	7	+3	27
3	Burnley	15	6	8	1	+12	26
4	Sheffield United	15	7	4	4	+10	25
5	Luton	15	6	6	3	+6	24
6	Norwich	15	7	3	5	+5	24
7	Swansea	15	7	3	5	-2	24
8	Millwall	15	7	2	6	+2	23
9	Preston	17	5	7	5	-3	22
10	Reading	15	7	1	7	-6	22
11	Rotherham	14	5	6	3	+3	21
12	Bristol City	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Sunderland	15	5	5	5	+3	20
14	Birmingham	15	5	5	5	+2	20
15	Watford	15	5	5	5	-1	20
16	Stoke	15	5	4	6	-1	19
17	Blackpool	16	5	4	7	-4	19
18	Wigan	15	5	4	6	-6	19
19	Cardiff	15	5	3	7	-5	18
20	Hull	15	5	2	8	-13	17
21	Middlesbrough	14	4	4	6	-1	16
22	West Brom	15	2	8	5	-1	14
23	Huddersfield	14	3	2	9	-6	11
24	Coventry	11	2	4	5	-5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	8	6	0	2	+8	18
2	Millwall	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Reading	8	5	1	2	+3	16
4	Rotherham	8	4	3	1	+8	15
5	Sheffield United	7	4	2	1	+9	14
6	QPR	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Norwich	8	4	2	2	+5	14
8	Burnley	7	3	4	0	+7	13
9	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	+4	13
10	Watford	7	4	1	2	+2	13
11	Swansea	8	4	1	3	+0	13
12	Middlesbrough	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Hull	8	4	0	4	-5	12
14	Cardiff	7	3	2	2	+1	11
15	Sunderland	7	2	4	1	+3	10
16	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
17	Huddersfield	8	3	1	4	+1	10
18	Blackpool	8	3	1	4	+0	10
19	Birmingham	7	2	3	2	+2	9
20	Stoke	7	2	2	3	-2	8
21	West Brom	8	1	4	3	-1	7
22	Preston	8	1	4	3	-4	7
23	Wigan	8	1	3	4	-9	6
24	Coventry	3	1	0	2	-1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	9	4	3	2	+1	15
2	Luton	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Burnley	8	3	4	1	+5	13
4	Wigan	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	QPR	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Stoke	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Sheffield United	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Birmingham	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Swansea	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Sunderland	8	3	1	4	+0	10
11	Norwich	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Blackpool	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Blackburn	8	3	0	5	-5	9
14	Bristol City	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Watford	8	1	4	3	-3	7
17	Coventry	8	1	4	3	-4	7
18	Cardiff	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Rotherham	6	1	3	2	-5	6
20	Reading	7	2	0	5	-9	6
21	Millwall	7	1	2	4	-6	5
22	Hull	7	1	2	4	-8	5
23	Middlesbrough	6	1	1	4	-2	4
24	Huddersfield	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.