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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Caen
S T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Rodez
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Caen 8. · Rodez 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 12 7 3 2 +11 24
2 Le Havre 12 6 5 1 +14 23
3 Sochaux 12 7 2 3 +12 23
4 Amiens 13 7 2 4 +2 23
5 Valenciennes 12 6 4 2 +3 22
6 Grenoble 12 5 4 3 +2 19
7 Guingamp 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Caen 12 5 3 4 +1 18
9 Bastia 12 5 2 5 -4 17
10 Paris FC 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Metz 12 4 3 5 +1 15
12 St Etienne 13 3 5 5 -3 14
13 Quevilly Rouen 12 3 5 4 -4 14
14 Pau FC 12 3 5 4 -5 14
15 Laval 12 4 1 7 -1 13
16 Dijon 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Annecy 12 3 3 6 -2 12
18 Rodez 12 2 6 4 -5 12
19 Nimes 12 3 2 7 -5 11
20 Niort 12 2 2 8 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Rodez
44′
🟥 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Valério
↦ C. Dépres
Quentin Daubin 🟨
49′
Ali Abdi 🟨
57′
J. Deminguet 🔁
↦ Q. Daubin
60′
1–0 Alexandre Mendy
68′
2–0 S. Essende
G. Kyeremeh
71′
B. Jeannot 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
78′
J. Obiang 🔁
↦ A. Abdi
78′
81′
🔁 Joseph Mendes
↦ G. Coelho
81′
🔁 Park Jung-Bin
↦ R. Boissier
Emmanuel Ntim 🟨
86′
N. Bassette 🔁
↦ S. Essende
86′
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ G. Kyeremeh
86′
86′
🔁 A. Pembélé
↦ N. Ouammou
87′
🟨 Joris Chougrani
90′
🔁 H. Far
↦ K. Corredor
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Caen

3-4-3
1 A. Mandréa G
91 E. Ntim D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
24 H. Vandermersch M
28 D. Diani M
6 Q. Daubin M
2 A. Abdi M
99 S. Essende F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
17 G. Kyeremeh F
Bench (7)
8 J. Deminguet
9 B. Jeannot
23 J. Obiang
77 N. Bassette
21 B. Brahimi
16 Y. Clementia
4 A. Teikeu

Coach: S. Moulin

Rodez

4-3-3
16 L. M'Pasi G
29 G. Coelho D
22 L. Mouyokolo D
21 J. Chougrani D
28 A. Abdallah D
6 R. Boissier M
14 B. Danger M
8 L. Rajot M
12 K. Corredor F
25 C. Dépres F
7 N. Ouammou F
Bench (7)
18 A. Valério
11 Joseph Mendes
9 Park Jung-Bin
24 A. Pembélé
27 H. Far
17 Plamedi Buni Jorge
1 S. Cibois

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,47
B
5,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.