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Bundesliga
Referee: Patrick Ittrich
Werder Bremen
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Hertha
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
3,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
77%
40%
Both score Ø 59%
77%
40%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 7. · Hertha 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 21 7 2 +56 70
2 RB Leipzig 30 19 5 6 +25 62
3 Dortmund 30 16 8 6 +30 56
4 Hoffenheim 30 14 13 3 +25 55
5 Hertha 30 14 4 12 +3 46
6 Freiburg 30 13 5 12 -14 44
7 Werder Bremen 30 12 6 12 -1 42
8 Schalke 04 31 11 8 12 +7 41
9 FC Koln 30 10 11 9 +6 41
10 Ein Frankfurt 30 11 8 11 -2 41
11 M'gladbach 30 11 6 13 -5 39
12 Leverkusen 31 10 6 15 -6 36
13 Mainz 30 9 6 15 -10 33
14 Wolfsburg 30 9 6 15 -13 33
15 Hamburg 30 9 6 15 -25 33
16 Augsburg 30 8 8 14 -20 32
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 30 8 4 18 -21 28
18 Darmstadt 30 6 3 21 -35 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Hertha
1–0 F. Bartels
M. Kruse
9′
2–0 M. Kruse
F. Bartels
15′
Niklas Moisander 🟨
23′
28′
🟨 Maximilian Mittelstädt
Half-time 2–0
T. Delaney 🔁
↦ F. Grillitsch
46′
62′
🔁 O. Duda
↦ P. Skjelbred
P. Bargfrede 🔁
↦ M. Eggestein
73′
73′
🔁 G. Haraguchi
↦ A. Esswein
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ F. Bartels
77′
86′
🔁 F. Baak
↦ P. Pekarík
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
42 F. Wiedwald G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
26 L. Sané D
4 R. Bauer D
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
27 F. Grillitsch M
13 M. Veljkovic D
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
6 T. Delaney
44 P. Bargfrede
29 S. Gnabry
7 F. Kainz
9 A. Jóhannsson
20 U. Garcia
33 J. Drobný

Coach: A. Nouri

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
2 P. Pekarík D
40 J. Torunarigha D
34 M. Mittelstädt D
3 P. Skjelbred M
7 A. Esswein M
6 V. Darida M
20 Allan M
19 V. Ibišević F
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
10 O. Duda
24 G. Haraguchi
39 F. Baak
1 T. Kraft
11 S. Allagui
33 A. Maier
36 J. Kade

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Patrick Ittrich · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.