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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Admira

U U S T U

0–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Admira Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

16%

42%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

63%

58%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

9 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Admira 11. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	19	14	3	2	+22	45
2	Salzburg	19	13	5	1	+47	44
3	SK Rapid	19	10	5	4	+19	35
4	Wolfsberger AC	19	10	4	5	+21	34
5	Sturm Graz	19	8	4	7	+9	28
6	Hartberg	19	8	4	7	-7	28
7	Austria Vienna	19	5	7	7	-3	22
8	Altach	19	6	2	11	-9	20
9	Mattersburg	19	5	2	12	-23	17
10	St. Polten	19	3	7	9	-26	16
11	Admira	19	3	6	10	-21	15
12	Tirol	19	3	3	13	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	8	1	1	+29	25
2	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+12	17
3	Hartberg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	LASK	9	4	3	2	+5	15
5	Austria Vienna	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	SK Rapid	10	3	4	3	+4	13
7	Sturm Graz	10	4	1	5	+1	13
8	Altach	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	St. Polten	10	1	4	5	-14	7
10	Admira	9	1	3	5	-8	6
11	Mattersburg	9	1	1	7	-14	4
12	Tirol	9	1	1	7	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	10	10	0	0	+17	30
2	SK Rapid	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	Salzburg	9	5	4	0	+18	19
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Sturm Graz	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Mattersburg	10	4	1	5	-9	13
7	Hartberg	10	3	2	5	-12	11
8	Altach	9	3	0	6	-7	9
9	St. Polten	9	2	3	4	-12	9
10	Admira	10	2	3	5	-13	9
11	Austria Vienna	10	1	5	4	-6	8
12	Tirol	10	2	2	6	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.