Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolfsburg
Augsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | +52 | 75 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +35 | 73 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 66 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | +13 | 55 |
| 6 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 |
Wolfsburg
|
33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 52 |
| 8 |
Hoffenheim
|
33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 51 |
| 9 |
Werder Bremen
|
33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | +8 | 50 |
| 10 |
Hertha
|
33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 |
Mainz
|
33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 40 |
| 13 |
Freiburg
|
33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | -19 | 33 |
| 14 |
Augsburg
|
33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 |
Schalke 04
|
33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -38 | 27 |
| 17 |
Hannover
|
33 | 5 | 6 | 22 | -39 | 21 |
| 18 |
Nurnberg
|
33 | 3 | 10 | 20 | -38 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stuttgart
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Nurnberg
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Ein Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg
Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.